Provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc.
CORN
- Mar corn down 14 @ 6.57
- Corn inspections were pegged at 26.3 mb, bringing total 22/23 inspections to 377 mb
- For the next 2 weeks in Argentina, there is not much rain in the forecast
- Crude oil is sharply lower again – possibly due to fears of a global recession – this may be pressuring other markets
- Ukraine FOB corn is reported to be $1-1.10 / bushel lower than the US
SOYBEANS
- Mar soybeans down 22 @ 14.90
- Soybean inspections were pegged at 53.8 mb, bringing total 22/23 inspections to 1,052 mb
- Private exporters reported sales of 124,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to unknown during the 22/23 marketing year
- China demand remains a concern with a rise in Covid cases and economic issues
- China’s crush margins have declined
- Central and northern Brazil still look favorable (in terms of weather conditions)
- March soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange are around the equivalent of $19.65 per bushel
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WHEAT
- Mar Chi wheat down 25 @ 7.50, Mar KC down 26 @ 8.43, & Mar MNPLS down 13 @ 9.06
- Wheat inspections were pegged at 3.1 mb, bringing total 22/23 inspections to 435 mb
- Dryness persists in the southern plains, and that may continue throughout January
- Argentina may only have half of their usual wheat exports (due to the drought)
- Russian wheat exports for December are estimated to be record large (around 4-4.5 mmt)
- Ukraine wheat exports are running 47% behind last year
CATTLE
- Feb LC up 0.500 @ 157.350 & Jan FC up 2.250 @ 184.950
- Feeder cattle were lower yesterday despite weaker corn
- Higher cash cattle expected
- Higher food prices for consumers may affect demand which is a concern
- Packers should stay aggressive with strong boxed beef
- Choice cuts up 4.97 and select up 3.70
- Cattle slaughter projected at 128K
- CME Feeder Cattle Index for 1/3: down 0.91 @ 181.02
HOGS
- Feb hogs down 0.600 @ 84.475 & Feb pork cutout down 0.675 @ 91.125
- Hogs succumbed to spillover pressure yesterday (and maybe again today)
- Hog supply is expected to tighten throughout the year
- Holiday demand was maybe not as good as expected
- Lower cutouts are unsupportive
- National Direct Afternoon report declined 0.70
- Hog slaughter projected at 492K
- CME Lean hog Index for 1/4: down 0.74 @ 79.45