TFM Midday Update 4-8-2026

CORN

  • Corn futures are trending lower at midday, as weakness in crude oil continues to pressure the market. May corn is 1.4 cents lower at 4.47 ¼.
  • A two-week deadline extension for Iran has led to a sharp selloff in crude oil this morning. While the move suggests easing tensions, it does not signal an end to the conflict and instead provides additional time for negotiations.
  • Additional rainfall is expected across the Midwest and eastern Corn Belt, adding soil moisture and potentially delaying fieldwork.
  • The USDA will release its supply and demand report tomorrow, with no significant changes expected for corn.
  • Ethanol production rebounded to 328 million gallons in the week ended Friday April 3, up from 316 million the previous week and 9% above YA.

SOYBEANS

  • Soybean futures are mixed at midday, with weakness in the U.S. dollar lending support. Soybean meal is higher, while soybean oil is under pressure. May soybeans are 1 cent higher at 11.59 ¼.
  • Optimism surrounding the Beijing summit remains in the market, with the meeting set for mid-May. Traders are hopeful for additional Chinese purchases ahead of the summit, helping support soybean prices alongside overnight weakness in the U.S. dollar.
  • The April USDA supply and demand report is set for release tomorrow, and the trade is not expecting any major changes for soybeans.

WHEAT

  • Wheat is trading lower at midday, facing pressure from the Iran deadline extension and the resulting weakness in crude oil. May Chicago wheat is 15.2 cents lower at 5.82 ¾ while May Kansas City wheat is 8.4 cents lower at 5.99.
  • The wheat market continues to be weighed down by ample global supplies, while easing geopolitical tensions are contributing to ongoing price weakness.
  • Argus has raised its 2026/27 Russian wheat production estimate to 88.7 million tons, compared to 86.5 million previously forecast last fall, following insights from a crop tour conducted last month.
  • The USDA’s upcoming supply and demand report is expected to show a slight reduction in U.S. ending stocks to 923 million bushels from 931 million in March, while global ending stocks are anticipated to hold steady.

Author

Lauren VandenLangenberg

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