TFM Midday Update 11-10-2020

CORN

  • Dec corn up 3 @ 4.11
  • Corn harvest at 91% versus 80% average
  • Corn exports running 74% ahead of last yr
  • Argentina port workers still on strike over wages, delaying shipments
  • China reports most of their harvest is complete
  • Traders wait for USDA report at 11:00 & S. American weather concerns
  • Daily export sales of 130K mt of corn to S. Korea
  • Funds net buyers of 6K contracts – O/I -36,341 contracts
  • Dec support @ 4.06 – resistance @ 4.17

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 6 @ 11.11 & Jan up 7 @ 11.18
  • Soybean harvest 92% completely – versus 90% average
  • Soybean exports are up 78% ahead of last yr
  • Brazilian farmers planted 56% slightly behind 58% this time last year
  • Brazil’s 2020-21 soybean output est. at record 135M mt
  • USDA report can certainly have impact but S. American weather more important
  • Funds net buyers of 7K contracts – O/I Jan -2,446 contracts
  • Jan support @ 10.98 – resistance @ 11.19

WHEAT

  • Dec Chi up 6 @ 6.03, Dec KC up 3 @ 5.55, Dec MNPLS up 1 @ 5.55
  • U.S. Winter wheat 93% plated – 45% G/E conditions
  • Wheat exports running 2% of last yr
  • Russia getting small rains but enough  to matter
  • U.S. Plains will get some relief in some areas due to snow/rain
  • Funds net sellers of 3K contracts SRW – O/I -16,689 & KC -6,975
  • Dec Chi support @ 5.91 – resistance @ 6.13, Dec KC support @ 5.38 – resistance @5.63

CATTLE

  • Dec LC up .30@ 112.15 & Nov FC down .02 @ 141.60
  • Cattle cash prices continue to fall short of expectations
  • If boxed beef values continue to rise, price could push higher
  • Projected slaughter for today est. at 120K head
  • Cash prices undetermined for LC & 135.58 as of 11/6 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -11,281 contracts for Dec LC & O/I: -1,673 contracts for Nov FC

HOGS

  • Dec Hogs down .42 @ 65.15 & Dec Pork Cutout down -.12 @ 81.12
  • Potential Covid vaccine could keep prices supported
  • Lack of short-term market news or change in demand could keep prices capped
  • Higher pork cutout values yesterday lend support
  • Hog slaughter 493K head yesterday, projected 490K for today
  • Cash lean index @ 71.74 as of 11/6
  • O/I: -6,999 contracts for Dec

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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