TFM Midday Update 3-2-21

CORN

  • May corn up 9 @ 5.47 & Dec up 8 @ 4.76
  • Informa reduced Brazil corn production to 108.6 million tns
  • Informa increased Argentina’s production to 17.6 million tns
  • Argentina will remain dry – Rains in Brazil continue to delay 2nd corn planting
  • Daily export sales of 175K mt to Japan announced today
  • Crop insurance prices insured at 4.58

SOYBEANS

  • May up 19 @ 14.10 & Nov up 10 @12.28
  • Informa increased Brazil production forecast to 136 million tns
  • Informa increased Argentina soybean to 49 million tns
  • Some rains in Brazil continue to slow harvest – 25% complete
  • USDA reported 197 million bushels of soybeans crushed in January
  • Crop insurance prices insured at 11.87

WHEAT

  • May up 17 @ 6.68, May KC up 16 @ 6.30, May MNPLS up 13 @ 6.46
  • Oklahoma, Kansas, & Nebraska all report lower winter wheat conditions since end of Jan
  • Colorado & Texas reported improvement to winter wheat
  • Informa increased Ukraine’s production forecast to 3.5 million tns – equal to last year
  • Some rains built into forecast – Central Kansas hopefully get some much needed rains
  • Yesterday marks the beginning of Russian export tax expanding from 25 euro/tonne to 50 euros

CATTLE

  • April LC up .30 @ 119.27 & March FC down 1.25 @ 135.95
  • Fundamental weakness pressures market
  • Corn rallying again today keeping FC traders leery
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 121K head
  • Cash trade quiet for Cattle – asking prices around 116
  • Feeder Cattle Index for Feb 25, down .57 @ 138.91
  • Open interest lost 4583 for April futures & lost 556 for March FC

HOGS

  • April Hogs down 1.82 @ 85.82 & April Pork Cutout down 1.45 @ 93.00
  • Fluctuating pork cutout values pressure futures
  • Prices drop as China claims it will work to stabilize its hog production from disease
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 497K head
  • Cash lean index for Feb 25, up .75 @ 80.70

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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