TFM Midday Update 3-17-2021

CORN

  • May up 1 @ 5.55 & Dec down 2 @ 4.75
  • Ethanol production for week ending 3-12 averaged 971K barrels per day – down 6% from last yr
  • Argentina has seen significant relief to dryness over past 2 days – more rain ahead
  • US weather will leave Midwest & northern delta to wet for early fieldwork early April
  • Daily export sale of 1,224,000 mt – delivery China

SOYBEANS

  • May down 9 @ 14.13 & Nov down 9 @ 12.36
  • Brazil’s weather outlook is drier for next week
  • Meal and bean markets finding some resistance on concern of lower crush margins
  • Resurgence of ASF in China may damper hopes of US farmers to sell more soybeans
  • Brazilian Ag firm puts soybean harvest at record 134.8 million tns

WHEAT

  • May down 4 @ 6.43, KC May down 6 @ 6.02, MNPLS May down 4 @ 6.33
  • US HRW wheat improvements are expected to be significant for next 2 weeks due to weather
  • US NW plains will continue to be dry for next 7-10 days
  • Euronet wheat fell to one-month as improved US crop ratings weighed on the market
  • Australia looking to plant a bigger crop after record harvest in 2020

CATTLE

  • April LC up .77 @ 118.97 & April FC down .30 @ 143.02
  • Solid demand outlook into spring
  • Cattle on Feed Friday – cattle placements expected to drop 2.4% from last yr
  • Cattle sold for 114.25-114.50 yesterday in Texas & Nebraska
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 121K head
  • Feeder Cattle Index for March 15, down .07 @ 133.86
  • Open interest lost 3370 for April futures & lost 220 contracts for April FC

HOGS

  • April hogs up 27 @ 93.17 & April Pork Cutout up .47 @ 102.77
  • ASF in China resurgence may mean China stays a buyer of US hogs longer than anticipated
  • Packers continue to want hogs to keep plants running to satisfy demand
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 496K head
  • Cash lean index for March 15, up .56 @ 89.91
  • O/I: Lost 2921 positions for April hogs & pork cutout futures gained 2 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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