TFM Midday Update 03-22-2021

CORN

  • May corn down 8 @ 5.49 & Dec down 4 @ 4.67
  • Weekly export inspections 1.962M mt versus 2.203M mt last week
  • Funds still long 370K contracts
  • Argentina will receive some rain Wed-Friday
  • Drier weather headed for Brazil this week aiding fieldwork
  • Between China & ethanol rebounding; demand remains strong

SOYBEANS

  • May down 5 @ 14.09 & Nov down 8 @ 12.12
  • Weekly export inspections 489.4K mt versus  518.7K mt v last week
  • Funds still long 156K contracts – smallest since August
  • Impressive bounce in soybean oil overnight but futures refuse to rally today
  • Soy harvest in Brazil expected to be 92% done – planting could reach 65% this week
  • China expected to need soybean imports at 100 mmt – record large

WHEAT

  • May down 1 @ 6.24, May KC down 9 @ 5.76, May MNPLS down 2 @ 6.24
  • Weekly export inspections 648.4K mt versus 683.4K mt last week
  • Funds still long 17.5K contracts Chi wheat & 38K contracts KC wheat
  • Ukraine expected to get rain this week & will help S. Russian spring crops
  • US HRW wheat areas will receive waves of rain/snow this week

CATTLE

  • Jun cattle up 0.52 @ 119.20 & Apr FC up 0.50 @ 139.92
  • Demand boom looks to last into spring to support more cash & beef
  • Packers may be more aggressive this week & bid higher to keep plants full
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 116K head
  • Cattle sales last week at 114-115 – sales in Iowa at 116
  • Feeder Cattle Index for March 18, down 0.25 @ 134.03
  • Open interest gained 5430 for June futures & lost 219 contracts for Apr FC

HOGS

  • Apr hogs up 0.20 @ 94.45 & Apr pork cutout down 0.37 @ 104.75
  • Weakening pork cutouts may pressure packers and reduce their willingness to bid higher
  • Uncertainty surrounding ASF in China continues to keep hogs supported
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 493K head
  • Cash Lean Index for March 17, up 0.68 @ 91.24
  • O/I: Lost 2241 positions for Apr hogs & pork cutout futures lost 52 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates