TFM Midday Update 03-30-2021

CORN

  • May down 6 @ 5.40 & Dec down 8 @ 4.53
  • Argentina weather expected to favorable for next 10 days
  • Daily export sales of 100,800 mt of corn – unknown delivery
  • China domestic corn prices lower – indicative of adequate supplies for now?
  • Weather in Brazil is bound to stress 2nd corn crop
  • Corn following the trend of fellow grains ahead of large acres expected in tomorrow’s USDA report

SOYBEANS

  • May down 10 @ 13.82 & Nov down 9 @ 11.08
  • Brazil weather favorably mixed for the next 10 days
  • Brazil soybeans reported 71% harvested versus 76% this time last year
  • Bean oil once again pushing futures lower today
  • Futures slip below 50-day moving average for 1st time since August 2020
  • Funds have lightened up – plenty of room to add longs if tomorrow’s report bullish

WHEAT

  • May down 15 @ 6.02, KC May down 10 @ 5.58, MNPLS down 6 @ 6.05
  • Hard wheat tour to begin May 18-20
  • Almost all of the US Plains in need of water – market not reacting to that currently
  • Freezes expected this week for key wheat production areas in US – no damage expected
  • Kansas wheat improved to 50% good/excellent versus last week 45%
  • Ukraine topsoil rated A+ & rains in S. Russia create optimal conditions

CATTLE

  • Jun cattle down 0.62 @ 122.05 & Apr FC up 0.02 @ 147.10
  • May see profit-taking due to 3-day holiday weekend & end of 1st quarter
  • Beef cutouts expected to move higher – moderate box movement
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 120K head
  • Cash trade quiet – bids 118-120 in the south
  • Feeder Cattle Index for March 26, up 2.10 @ 138.85
  • Open interest gained 3873 for Jun futures & lost 4  contracts for Apr FC

HOGS

  • Apr hogs up 0.02 @ 100.40 & Apr pork cutout up 0.60 @ 110.25
  • Hogs higher as pork ribs & pork bellies rose higher yesterday
  • Spot hog & cash remain firm
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 492K head
  • Cash Lean Index for March 25, up 1.38 @ 95.97
  • O/I: Lost 901 positions for Apr hogs & pork cutout futures lost 5 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates