TFM Midday Update 5-18-21

CORN

  • July Corn up 8 @ 6.61 & Dec corn up 7 @ 5.44
  • Rains moving through Eastern corn belt today
  • US planting at 80% complete and 41% emerged
  • Demand for corn still very strong – Brazil & China corn still very high
  • Ethanol margins continue to improve
  • Brazil Safrinha corn still stressed by drought
  • Managed money still estimated 250K long
  • O/I: Lost 13,235 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July down 14 @ 15.72 @ Nov down 2 @ 19.95
  • Veg oil markets continue to lend support to futures
  • July soybeans high today at 16.04
  • July bean oil over 70 cents since 2008
  • US planting 61% complete – 2nd fastest pace on record
  • China beans at 18.48 – still pushes them to import beans
  • O/I: Lost 5,268 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat up 2 @ 7.02, July KC up 1@ 6.52 , July MNPLS up 3 @ 7.18
  • Wheat futures up minimally today – but up for now
  • Rains projected in the Norther Plains where drought remains
  • Winter wheat conditions fell 1% to 48% – good/excellent
  • Spring wheat seeding at 85% complete – well ahead of 71% pace
  • Inflation still a concern in Russian prices- even higher export tax imposed 6/2
  • O/I: Lost 300 positions in July wheat & gained 11 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC up 1.40 @ 116.75 & August FC down .82 @ 151.92
  • Futures looking for support – need higher cash prices
  • Slower chains speeds are slowing amount of cattle purchased
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 14, up 2.17 @ 133.90
  • Asking prices around $121 – no cash trade yet
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 119K
  • Open interest lost 4,662 for June futures & gained 24 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs up .80 @ 109.45 & June Pork Cutout up 1.30 @ 116.75
  • Demand continues to remain strong which should support prices
  • There is now a gap to the upside in June/July futures needing to be filed
  • Hog slaughter projected at 481K
  • Cash lean index for May 13; down .01 @ 110.93
  • O/I: Lost 2,958 for June hogs & June pork cutout gained 24 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates