TFM Midday Update 6-17-21

CORN

  • July  down 21 @ 6.51 & Dec down 17 @ 5.54
  • Weekly export sales of 18,000 mt – down 91% from last week
  • Corn down again – pressured by rain in the 7 day forecast & cooler temps
  • White House is considering lower blending targets
  • Beneficial rains on the horizon for eastern Corn Belt
  • Volatile markets, but corn still above support levels
  • O/I: Lost 14,599 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July down 37 @ 14.11 & Nov down 38 @ 13.05
  • Weekly export sales of 65,300 –  up 51% from the prior 4 week average
  • Soybeans at lowest price in over a month
  • Futures pressured by soybean oil
  • Soybeans also falling on weather
  • Rumors grain shortages in China being suppressed
  • O/I: Lost 4,052 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat down 4 @ 6.58, July KC down 8 @ 6.02, July MNPLS up 12 @ 7.73
  • Weekly export sales of 287,100 mt
  • Pressured by mostly favorable winter wheat conditions outside US
  • Weather remains positive for harvest this week
  • Temps are extremely hot – MPLS wheat up today due to threat to crop
  • If rains do not land as expected – recent fall in price could reverse  next week
  • O/I: Lost 10,256 positions in July wheat & lost 5,544 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • Aug LC down .30 @ 124.65 &  August FC up 2.05 @ 159.75
  • New highs in cattle futures keep the trend up – supported by higher cash
  • Weekly export sales of 12,800 mt – down 20% from last week
  • Light cattle trade in the South at $122-$123
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • Feeder cattle cash index for June 15: up .13 @ 140.35
  • Open interest lost 1,407 for Aug LC & lost 440 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • July hogs down 2.20 @ 113.30 & July pork cutout down 1.32 @ 120.50
  • Hog futures may be overdone to the downside considering strong cash performance
  • Weekly export sales of  29,300 – up 49% from last week
  • Hog slaughter projected at 484K
  • Cash lean index for June 14: up .79 @ 122.68
  • O/I: Lost 2,677 for July hogs & July pork cutout lost/gained 0 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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