TFM Midday Update 06-22-2021

CORN

  • Jul up 4 @ 6.63 & Dec down 10 @ 5.47
  • Corn good to excellent condition fell 3% to 65%
  • Dakota good to excellent conditions range from 34% to 39%
  • Heavy rains expected in parts of the Corn Belt on Thursday
  • Private analysts looking for a Brazil crop of 86-89 MMT vs the USDA June forecast of 98.5 MMT
  • DTN National Corn Index closed at $6.63

SOYBEANS

  • Jul up 2 @ 14.18 & Nov up 2 @ 13.21
  • Soybean good to excellent condition rated at 60% (the lowest since 2012)
  • North Dakota good to excellent rating is only 23%
  • Purchase confirmation from China yesterday on new crop US soybeans
  • Soybeans are 97% planted and 91% emerged
  • DTN National Soybean Index closed at $13.79

WHEAT

  • Jul wheat down 4 @ 6.57, Jul KC unchanged @ 6.00, Jul MNPLS up 22 @ 7.87
  • Spring wheat good to excellent condition rated at just 27% (lowest since 1988)
  • Hot and dry weather last week took a toll on spring wheat yield potential
  • Northern Plains expected to become hot and dry again next week
  • Winter wheat rated at 49% good to excellent
  • Russia and the Balkans experiencing extreme heat which may stress their wheat
  • DTN National HRW Wheat Index closed at $5.85

CATTLE

  • Aug LC up 3.075 @ 124.10 & Aug FC up 3.10 @ 158.20
  • Cattle closed quietly Monday with FC a bit higher and LC a bit lower though we are seeing strong gains as of writing
  • Little news for traders to go on for market direction
  • Packers may be willing to pay steady money for cattle again this week
  • Boxed beef prices continue to decline
  • Choice cuts down 2.08 and select cuts down 2.15
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K

HOGS

  • Jul hogs up 1.60 @ 108.65 & Jul pork cutout up 1.25 @ 117.25
  • Liquidation may still not have run its course
  • August futures fell to the lowest level since April 29 but have gained back some ground
  • Some hog futures contracts have price gaps above current levels – these will need to be filled at some point requiring futures to bounce
  • Supplies remain tight and the projection is for the supply to further tighten over the course of the year
  • Hog slaughter projected at 476K

Author

Brandon Doherty

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