TFM Midday Update 7-6-21

CORN

  • Sept down 40 @ 5.52 & Dec down 40 @ 5.39
  • Corn down limit mid-morning on rains in the forecast
  • Brazil’s corn is estimated to be 12% harvested (23% a year ago)
  • USDA still projects Brazil corn at 102.5 mmt (most analysts agree on closer to 90 mmt)
  • New-crop US corn prices remain focused on weather
  • Regardless of weather, old-crop supply is still extremely tight
  • Friday, managed funds were sellers of 10,000 contracts
  • Sept corn support at 5.80 & resistance at 6.00

SOYBEANS

  • Aug down 70 @ 16.32 & Nov down 73 @ 13.26
  • Soybeans trending lower on US rains in 10 day forecast
  • Veg oils are also down today adding pressure to futures
  • New crop acres are not enough to meet demand without perfect crop
  • Friday managed funds were buyers of 2,000 contracts
  • Sept soybeans support at 14.00 & resistance at 14.51

WHEAT

  • Sept wheat down 32 @ 6.20, Sept KC down 35 @ 5.83, Sept MNPLS down 51 @ 7.87
  • Wheat down due to move in corn & rains
  • Kansas should progress with harvest – Nebraska & SD may get delayed due to rain
  • Northwest Plains are still not getting the rain they desperately need
  • Wheat still on track for record production on a global scale
  • Friday, managed funds were sellers of 17,000 contracts of SRW
  • Sept Chicago wheat support at 6.40 & resistance at 6.80

CATTLE

  • Aug LC down .72 @ 121.27 & Aug FC up 2.15 @ 159.20
  • Cash cattle trading activity has been light – packers should be more aggressive this wk
  • Cattle futures held support last week – should give confidence to traders
  • Fall in grains today help bolster FC futures
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for July 1: down .35 @ 146.96

HOGS

  • Aug hogs up 1.40 @ 101.62 & July pork cutout up .35 @ 115.50
  • Packers have not been buying as aggressively as in the past
  • Hog weights are decreasing requiring more animals to make up the difference
  • Hog slaughter projected at 471K
  • Cash lean index for June 30: down .41 @ 111.77

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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