TFM Midday Update 8-16-21

CORN

  • Sept down 4 @ 5.64 @ Dec down 6 @ 5.67
  • Past weekend was hot/dry for most of northern/western Corn Belt
  • Dakotas, MN, NE, & IA could see 1/2-1” of rains
  • Crop Progress report expected to be unchanged from last week
  • China’s internal corn still increasing now at 10.30
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/13, down 10.052 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Sept up 3 @ 13.76 & Nov up 1 @ 13.66
  • Hot & dry weather through Thursday supportive to futures
  • NOAA stated the Earth has it’s hottest temp reading in 142 years in July
  • Palm oil gapping higher today
  • US soybean demand once again strong as S. American prices are higher
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/13, up 10,751 contracts

WHEAT

  • Sept wheat down 3 @ 7.58, Sept KC down 6 @ 7.35, Sept MNPLS down 5 @ 9.38
  • Paris milling futures challenging contract high
  • World wheat outlook still bullish
  • Major wheat exporter stocks-to-use ratio is reported to be record low
  • Russia’s wheat prices rallying to 20 mt last week
  • Poor yields and weather still taking a toll on Russian & US crops
  • Concerns still exist for French wheat due to rains
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/13, up 3,763 SRW

CATTLE

  • Oct LC up .87 @ 128.97 & Sept FC down .72 @ 162.35
  • Boxed beef prices should push packers into buying cattle to meet demand
  • Cattle futures are in sideways pattern
  • Light cash last week with little increases – trade around 121
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 118K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for Aug 12: down .42 @ 155.83

HOGS

  • Oct hogs up 1.92 @ 88.45& Oct pork cutout up 2.35 @ 102.07
  • Hog futures were able to bounce off support last week
  • Cutouts showed impressive gain Friday
  • October futures still hold large discount to cash
  • Hog slaughter projected at 472K
  • Cash lean index for Aug 12: down .29 @ 109.90

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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