TFM Midday Update 9-8-21

CORN

  • Dec up 2 @ 5.12
  • Trade leery of what USDA might report on Friday’s report
  • Crop Progress report says 21% is mature & 59% good/excellent
  • USDA could show corn production near 15 bb – 2nd largest crop on record
  • Corn planting underway in Brazil
  • Grain inspections yesterday 276K mt versus 583 last week
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/7: up 9.975 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 1 @ 12.78
  • Soybeans showing better support than corn due to tighter supplies
  • Crop Progress report says 18% of soybeans are dropping leaves
  • US crop rated 57% good/excellent versus 56% last wk
  • Biggest question for soybeans is demand, but for now still looks strong
  • Daily export sale of 106K mt of soybeans to China reported
  • Grain inspections yesterday 68K mt vs 387 last week
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/7: up 2,685 contracts

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat down 9 @ 7.10,  Dec KC down 10 @ 7.07, Dec MNPLS down 16 @ 8.91
  • Wheat in a sideways trade channel until something changes fundamentally
  • Crop Progress report said 5% of winter wheat is planted
  • SRW wheat areas in US look to be in good shape for planting
  • 95% of winter wheat has been harvested, well ahead of normal pace
  • Trade expecting lower crop estimates for Canada/Russia, but larger for Australia
  • Grain inspections yesterday 382K mt vs 370 last week
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/7: down 44 contracts for SRW

CATTLE

  • Oct LC up .50 @ 124.25 & Oct FC up .32 @ 160.37
  • Rising Covid cases may hinder beef demand if restaurants limit capacity again
  • Fall in boxed beef should stimulate retail demand
  • Choice cuts down 1.23 & select down 2.23 yesterday
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • CME feeder cattle Index for Sept 6: up .20 @ 157.37

HOGS

  • Oct hogs up .60 @ 88.70 & Oct pork cutout up .80 @ 103.17
  • Supplies available leaving packers unaggressive
  • Cutouts down 2.48 yesterday
  • Discount of hog futures to cash still concerning
  • Hog slaughter projected at 480K
  • CME lean hog index for Sept 6: down .86 @ 99.30

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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