CORN
- Mar corn down 4 @ 6.47
- The Buenos Aires Grain Exchange lowered their estimate of Argentina’s corn crop to 51.0 mmt (vs the USDA’s 54 mmt)
- Corn production of Brazil and Argentina combined is estimated at 168.0 mmt (a record large amount) – this compares to 138.5 mmt last year, and a record of 153 mmt in 19/20
- Argentina is expected to remain mostly dry for the next 10 days
- May corn on China’s Dalian Exchange is around the equivalent of $11.09 per bushel
SOYBEANS
- Mar soybeans down 18 @ 15.65
- The USDA lowered China’s soybean imports 3 mmt (to 97 mmt) for the 21/22 marketing year
- CONAB is estimating Brazilian soybean production at 125.4 mmt (vs the USDA’s 134 mmt)
- USDA reduced Paraguay’s soybean production to 6.3 mmt (which would be the lowest production since 11/12)
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WHEAT
- Mar wheat down 7 @ 7.91, Mar KC down 5 @ 8.19, Mar MNPLS down 3 @ 9.58
- Wheat markets surged on Friday after reports that Russia intends to invade Ukraine this week
- President Biden talked with Putin and Zelensky (Ukraine’s president) over the weekend but there were no diplomatic breakthroughs
- Ukrainian shipping vessels have been disrupted by Russian Naval exercises
CATTLE
- Apr LC up 0.225 @ 146.400 & Mar FC up 0.975 @ 167.200
- Cattle slaughter pace is getting back to normal – packers may need to purchase more to keep up
- High feed prices remain a concern for feedlots
- Choice cuts down 0.30 and select down 1.12
- Cattle slaughter projected at 119K
- CME Feeder Cattle Index for 2/11: down 0.09 @ 162.64
HOGS
- Apr hogs up 0.225 @ 102.450 & Apr pork cutout up 0.350 @ 109.825
- Feb hogs expire today
- Cutouts increased 8.48 on Friday – indicates strong demand
- April has a large premium to cash
- National Direct Afternoon report declined 0.28
- Hog slaughter projected at 476K
- CME Lean Hog Index for 2/14: up 1.18 @ 88.92