TFM Midday Update 2-17-2022

The CME and Total Farm Marketing offices will be closed Monday, February 21, 2022 in observance of Presidents Day

CORN

  • Mar corn down 3 @ 6.44
  • USDA reported an increase of 32.3 mb of corn export sales in 21/22
  • Argentina’s forecast for the next two weeks is mostly dry
  • There are reports of mortar fire on the Ukrainian border, but each side is blaming the other
  • May corn on China’s Dalian exchange is around the equivalent of $11.09 per bushel

SOYBEANS

  • Mar soybeans down 6 @ 15.82
  • USDA reported an increase of 50.0 mb of soybean export sales in 21/22, and an increase of 56.1 mb for 22/23
  • Private exporters reported sales of 120,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to unknown during 21/22
  • Crude oil is lower and may be pressuring soybean oil
  • US soybeans are cheaper than Brazil from March forward

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WHEAT

  • Mar wheat up 11 @ 7.92, Mar KC up 9 @ 8.17, Mar MNPLS up 3 @ 9.55
  • USDA reported an increase of 4.3 mb of wheat export sales for 21/22
  • Russia says they are pulling troops out – the US disputes this saying there was an increase of as much as 7,000 troops on the border
  • A large winter storm will move across the US but rains will probably miss most of the HRW wheat belt
  • India’s ag minister is estimating their wheat crop at 11.32 mmt vs 109.5 mmt last year (and the USDA’s 109.5 mmt for this year)

CATTLE

  • Apr LC down 0.200 @ 146.725 & Mar FC down 0.850 @ 166.600
  • Cash trade was generally 2.00 higher, indicating packers need cattle
  • Live cattle may have already had higher cash factored in which may affect trade
  • Choice cuts down 0.75 and select down 1.74
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 122K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 2/16: down 0.12 @ 162.59

HOGS

  • Apr hogs up 0.400 @ 105.800 & Apr pork cutout up 0.400 @ 112.250
  • Hog futures continue their trend higher at midday
  • Increasing slaughter pace may require packers to be more aggressive, but they may have purchased enough supply for the week
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 2.06
  • Hog slaughter projected at 477K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 2/17: up 1.50 @ 93.34

Author

Brandon Doherty

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