TFM Midday Update 04-26-2022

CORN

  • May corn unchanged @ 8.00
  • Corn inspections pegged at 65 mb with total inspections now at 1.373 bb
  • Corn planting 7% done vs 15% average
  • Both the 6-10 and 8-14 day forecasts show showers in the Midwest
  • Weather looks ok in most of Europe and the Black Sea
  • Dryness in central Brazil is still raising concern about the safrinha corn crop
  • News outlets are reporting increased Russian attacks on central and western Ukraine cities

SOYBEANS

  • May soybeans up 3 @ 17.06
  • Soybean inspections pegged at 22.1 mb with total inspections now at 1.712 bb
  • Private exporters reported 132,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to China and 133,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to unknown
  • Soybean planting 3% done vs 5% average
  • May soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange dropped 2.9%, which may be due to the rise in covid cases and cities being locked down (though they are still expensive, around the equivalent of $21.46 per bushel)

 

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WHEAT

  • May wheat up 16 @ 10.78, May KC up 11 @ 11.56, & May MNPLS up 1 @ 11.78
  • Wheat inspections pegged at 10.6 mb, with total inspections now at 675 mb
  • Winter wheat crop rated 27% good to excellent (vs 30% last week and 49% last year)
  • Spring wheat 13% planted vs 15% average
  • Some reports suggest that areas of southwest Kansas, southeast Colorado, and the Oklahoma / Texas panhandles will produce zero wheat due to drought
  • Continued wet and cold weather in the northern Plains looks to further delay spring wheat planting there

CATTLE

  • Jun LC up 0.450 @ 135.875 & May FC up 0.050 @ 161.350
  • Higher than expected placements on the Cattle on Feed report contributed to weakness in cattle futures
  • April live cattle futures expire on Friday
  • Chart gaps now above the market may need to be filled
  • Choice cuts down 1.31 and select up 1.75
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 4/25: up 1.31 @ 156.52

HOGS

  • Jun hogs down 1.950 @ 112.075 & Jun pork cutout down 2.675 @ 118.200
  • June futures closed limit down yesterday
  • Covid lockdowns in China are cause concern about their pork import demand
  • Hog supplies are still expected to tighten
  • Lower cutouts yesterday were not supportive
  • National Direct Afternoon Report declined 0.64
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 4/26: up 0.83 @ 102.50

Author

Brandon Doherty

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