TFM Midday Update 01-29-2021

CORN

  • Mar up 12 @ 5.46 & Dec up 6 @ 4.44
  • Truck strikes in Argentina continue to slow shipments to ports
  • Central Argentina received rains overnight
  • Export daily sales of 2.108M mt of corn to China & another 132K mt to China
  • Corn sales are up 126% from this time last year
  • US farmers expected to increase acreage for 2022 due to high prices

SOYBEANS

  • Mar up 8 @ 13.61 & Nov up 12 @ 11.43
  • Still expecting truckers to strike starting on Monday
  • Brazil still in good shape however rains continue to slow harvest
  • In tighter years July meal has traded $100 premium Dec
  • Soybean sales are up 83% from this time last year
  • US farmers expected to increase acreage for 2022 due to high prices
  • US crushings expected to rise to 193.9 mb up from the 191 mb processed in Nov

WHEAT

  • Mar up 13 @ 6.59, KC Mar up 9 @ 6.35, & Mar MNPLS up 10 @ 6.38
  • Bitter cold air will push into plains this weekend and will last for all next week
  • Russia also expected to experience bitter cold temps, snow should protect crops
  • Corn rally continues to pull wheat alongside Paris & EU prices on the rise
  • Wheat sales are up 6% from this time last year

CATTLE

  • Feb LC down 0.15 @ 115.82 & Mar FC down 0.45 @ 139.35
  • Strong beef price uptrend but futures already at a big premium
  • Cash buyers are confident – traders are sticking to the sidelines today
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 118K head
  • Cash developed around 115 for LC & @ 135.34, up 0.51 for 1/27  for FC cash index
  • O/I: -3344 contracts for Feb LC & O/I: -243 contracts for Jan FC

HOGS

  • Feb Hogs down 0.22 @ 69.72 & Apr Pork Cutout up 1.00 @ 84.80
  • June key reversal but sales strong & pork values up
  • Strong pork exports continue to underlie the overall support from pork demand
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 488K head
  • Cash lean index @ 67.29 for 1/27
  • O/I: -1581 positions for hogs & pork cutout futures +627 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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