TFM Midday Update 02-22-2022

CORN

  • Mar corn up 9 @ 6.63
  • Russia moved some troops into eastern Ukraine and annexed two states as independent
  • There is about 16 mmt (700 mb) of corn that still has to be shipped out of Ukraine which could be disrupted
  • Crude oil is higher related to Russia concerns
  • May corn on China’s Dalian exchange is around the equivalent of $11.12 per bushel

SOYBEANS

  • Mar soybeans up 18 @ 16.19
  • Private exporters reported 132,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to China during the 22/23 marketing year
  • Soybean oil is sharply higher and Malaysian palm oil is making all time highs for the 3rd day in a row
  • May soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange are around the equivalent of $22.33 per bushel
  • There is a chance for rain in Argentina and southern Brazil this week

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WHEAT

  • Mar wheat up 12 @ 8.09, Mar KC up 17 @ 8.52, Mar MNPLS up 7 @ 9.68
  • Russian troops have moved into Ukraine but the president of Ukraine is reportedly still looking for a peaceful solution
  • Private exporters reported 120,000 mt of HRW wheat for delivery to Nigeria (half during 21/22 marketing year and half during 22/23)
  • Below freezing temperatures are hitting as far south as the Texas panhandle
  • Dryness remains a concern in northwest Africa, southwest Europe, and the US southern Plains

CATTLE

  • Apr LC unchanged @ 145.875 & Mar FC down 1.300 @ 164.125
  • Live cattle are potentially showing a head and shoulders chart formation
  • Stronger slaughter pace may keep packers aggressive to keep demand satisfied
  • Weakness of boxed beef is weighing on the market
  • Choice cuts down 1.76 and select down 0.79
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 2/18: unchanged at 162.14

HOGS

  • Apr hogs up 1.200 @ 110.600 & Apr pork cutout up 1.850 @ 117.775
  • Packers are being aggressive in terms of securing supplies
  • Hog futures remain overbought and due for a correction
  • A gap remains open on the May contract chart
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 2.00 (on Friday)
  • Hog slaughter projected at 478K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 2/22: up 0.99 @ 95.23

Author

Brandon Doherty

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