TFM Midday Update 03-05-2021

CORN

  • May corn up 7 @ 5.40, Dec up 5 @ 4.80
  • No rain in Argentina forecast for next week
  • Spread trading remains firm this week & today
  • Ethanol margins seeing support from energy values
  • No daily exports today
  • Double crop planting well underway in Brazil but behind usual pace

SOYBEANS

  • May up 11 @ 14.21, Nov up 11 @ 12.41
  • US and world ending stocks look to tighten further
  • March extremely important for Argentine’s crop to receive ample rainfall
  • 10% of Argentine soybeans rated good/excellent 70% rated normal
  • Cargill Inc expanding soybean processing capacity at 2 large crush plants
  • Brazil building up steam & a record long line of ships to load

WHEAT

  • May up 2 @ 6.53, KC May up 2 @ 6.23, MNPLS May up 2 @ 6.46
  • US Europe weather ok and world supply still burdensome
  • Mild winter in Russia improved crop conditions dramatically
  • French wheat rated 88% of soft wheat in good/excellent condition
  • USD trading back to the upper end of the range
  • US plains should see warmer weather, bringing the crop closer to exiting dormancy

CATTLE

  • April LC up .20 @ 118.75 & May FC up .10 @ 142.75
  • As more and more reopening’s occur, expanding pipeline supports
  • Traders nervous of further investment as fundamentals didn’t strengthen this week
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 121K head
  • Feeder Cattle Index for Mar 3, down 1.10 @ 136.07
  • Open interest lost 5543 for April futures & lost 713 for March FC

HOGS

  • April hogs down .25 @ 87.05 & May Pork Cutout up .47 @ 97.30
  • China strong buyer & may help market hold in consolidation
  • Deferred futures up today, however failure to hold last week’s high
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 491K head
  • Cash lean index for March 2 up .64 @ 83.27
  • O/I: Lost 3632 positions for April hogs & pork cutout futures gained 9 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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