TFM Midday Update 03-31-2021

The CME and Total Farm Marketing offices will be closed Friday, April 2, 2021, in observance of Good Friday.

 

CORN

  • May corn up 25 @ 5.64 & Dec corn up 24 @ 4.77
  • March 1 stocks 7.770 mb – trade guess of 7.778 mb
  • Prospective Planting report acres 91.1 million acres – trade expectation 93.1 million acres
  • Despite plunge in ethanol production – demand still expected to stay strong
  • Tomorrow’s exports need to be strong despite corn sales running at record pace
  • Weather in S. America remains overall dry – stress to Brazil 2nd corn crop

SOYBEANS

  • May up 59 @ 14.25 @ Nov up 64 @ 12.51
  • Soybeans will trade with a 1.05 trade limit today
  • Planting intentions report acres 87.6 million acres – trade guess around 90 million acres
  • March 1 soy stocks 1.564 mb — trade guess 1.561 mb
  • COVID-19 issues are re-emerging in Brazil & the EU

WHEAT

  • May wheat up 12 @ 6.14, May KC wheat up 14 @ 5.72, May MNPLS down 1 @ 6.00
  • Wheat acres at 46.3 million acres – trade guess around 45 million acres
  • March 1 wheat stocks 1.314 mb versus trade guess 1.2 mb
  • Trade looking for drastic decline in wheat – didn’t happen
  • Will funds re-own KC wheat

CATTLE

  • Jun cattle unchanged @ 122.25 & Apr FC down 1.75 @ 145.07
  • Cutouts exploded higher Tuesday indicating strong demand still in place
  • Futures hold large premium to cash – may hold until cash catches up
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 121K head
  • Cash trade quiet – bids 118-120 in the South
  • Feeder Cattle Index for March 29, up 0.89 @ 139.75
  • Open interest gained 959 for June futures & lost 542  contracts for April FC

HOGS

  • Apr hogs down 0.25 @ 100.670 & Apr pork cutout down 0.25 @ 110.35
  • Jun/Jul hogs made contracts high after closing chart gaps
  • Packers may hold back now that cutout gains have slowed
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 492K head
  • Cash lean index for March 26, up 1.41 @ 97.38
  • O/I: Lost 1776 positions for Apr hogs & pork cutout futures lost 4 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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