TFM Midday Update 04-19-2021

CORN

  • May up 6 @ 5.91 & Dec up 7 @ 5.19
  • Weekly  grain export inspections 1.524M mt
  • Still mixed concerns over Safrinha corn as rain not expected until end of week
  • New crop corn surges to high of 5.20
  • Argentina expected to get rains which will further delay harvest
  • Ethanol prices continue to rise with profitable margins
  • Funds reported 402K contracts long
  • O/I: Lost 30,123 positions in May futures

SOYBEANS

  • May up 12 @ 14.45 & Nov up 9 @ 12.83
  • Weekly grain export inspections 183,969 mt
  • Brazil rainfall expected to be erratic & light than usual for centeral/south Brazil
  • Veg oil prices strength continue to push soybeans higher
  • Mato Grosso now 100% harvested  – expected 35.7 mmt (record crop)
  • O/I: Lost 7,692 positions in May futures

WHEAT

  • May up 3 @ 6.56, KC May up 6 @ 6.15, May MPLS up 2 @ 6.66
  • KC and MPLS wheat headed for 5th consecutive day higher
  • Weekly grain export inspections 613,595 – above trade expectations
  • Cold weather in US central Plains will bring frost/freeze to many winter wheat areas
  • Plains and northern Plains still remain in drought
  • Still concerns over recent frost/freezes in Europe have left more damage behind to crops
  • O/I: Lost 3,214 positions in May wheat & lost 3,742 positions in KC May wheat

CATTLE

  • Jun LC down 1.10 @ 118.07 & May FC down 2.27 @ 141.45
  • Despite strong demand, cattle trading down for the 8th day in a row
  • Market appears oversold – boxed beef prices very strong last week
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 118K head
  • Cash bulk of cash trade last week was $121 – nothing today yet
  • Cash index for April for 15; down 0.62 @ 141.68
  • Open interest lost 357 for June futures & lost 738 for May FC

HOGS

  • Jun hogs up 2.37 @ 104.02 & Jun pork cutout up 1.60 @ 111.00
  • Packers paying higher prices looking for market-ready hogs
  • Hog carcass value at 112.09 – almost 50% above a year ago
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 489K head
  • Cash lean index for April 14; up 0.33 @ 103.03
  • O/I: Lost 3,254 for Jun hogs & Jun pork cutout lost/gained 0 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates