TFM Midday Update 04-21-2021

CORN

  • May up 16 @ 6.22 & Dec up 8 @ 5.37
  • Ethanol productions for the week ending 4/16 averaged 941K same as last week
  • Strong cash and tight basis keep prices putting in contract highs 3 days in a row
  • Late planted crops in Brazil will suffer due to dryness
  • Brazil’s 20/21 crop could reach a record of 107. mt
  • O/I: Lost 24,852 positions in May futures

SOYBEANS

  • May up 19 @ 14.91 & Nov up 12 @ 13.12
  • Argentina crop could be 51.5 million tonnes
  • Veg oils continue to push futures higher in soybean complex
  • China continues to reflect strong demand for soybeans
  • US basis continues to soar as buyers look for limited old crop beans
  • O/I: Lost 19739 positions in May futures

WHEAT

  • May up 15 @ 6.75, KC May up 11 @ 6.32, MNPLS May up 10 @ 6.80
  • US wheat damage occurred overnight in Oklahoma & Texas
  • Rain prospects for northern Plains could improve in early May but dry until then
  • Paris milling futures rose today on dryness & cold temps
  • Recent frost & freezes in EU have induced damage
  • O/I: Lost 6060 positions in May wheat & lost 4925 positions in KC May wheat

CATTLE

  • Jun LC down 1.75 @ 117.40 & May FC down 2.80 @ 139.975
  • Cattle on Feed out tomorrow – guess is placements up 33.7% from last year
  • Prices continue to slip despite strong demand & higher boxed beef prices
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 120K head
  • Cash trade expected to stay steady around 120-121
  • Cash index for April 19; down 1.65 @ 138.48
  • Open interest lost 2404 for June futures & lost 1112 for May FC

HOGS

  • Jun hogs down 0.42 @ 107.65 & Jun Pork Cutout down 1.95 @ 111.225
  • Tightening supplies keeping packers aggressive
  • Profit-taking likely to explain away today’s move lower
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 489K head
  • Cash lean index for April 16; up 0.52 @ 103.76
  • O/I: Lost 744 for Jun hogs & Jun pork cutout gained 2 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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