TFM Midday Update 06-02-2021

CORN

  • Jul corn down 15 @ 6.73 & Dec corn down 8 @ 5.68
  • US crop rating at 76% good/excellent
  • 3rd highest first-week rating since 2010
  • Corn 95% planted and 81% emerged
  • 7-day forecast offers little rain & hot/dry for the Corn Belt
  • Stone X projects Brazil corn production at 89.7 mmmt
  • O/I: Lost 7,508 positions in Jul futures

SOYBEANS

  • Jul up 7 @ 15.55 & Nov up 9 @ 14.06
  • Veg oils bounce back adding support to soybeans
  • US planting progress at 84% – 62% emerged
  • Next Monday first crop rating will be released
  • April crush numbers were 169.8 mb – down from 171 mb expected
  • Soaring temps with little rain starting impact beans in Plains
  • O/I: Lost 4,732 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • Jul wheat down 6 @ 6.87, Jul KC down 6 @ 6.31, Jul MNPLS up 11 @ 7.83
  • MNPLS wheat continues to push higher on falling crop ratings
  • Spring wheat good/excellent rating fell to 43% (80% last year)
  • Spring wheat planting 97% with 80% emerged
  • Winter wheat rated at 48% good/excellent
  • US Temps in the 90-100’s expected to remain for 2 weeks in Plains
  • O/I: Lost 4,610 positions in Jul wheat & lost 1,964 positions in KC Jul wheat

CATTLE

  • Jun LC up 2.47 @ 116.02 &  Aug FC up 1.45 @ 150.60
  • JBS expected to be mostly back online today
  • Live cattle filled their gap on the charts this morning
  • Rumors of cash trade developing around 120 – should lend support
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 105K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 31: up 0.21 @ 136.46
  • Open interest lost 3,674 for Jun futures & lost 531 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • Jun hogs down 0.72 @ 117.95 & Jun pork cutout down 1.10 @ 130.25
  • Yesterday’s cyberattack has had an impact on hog slaughter & 20% of the hog processing in US
  • Hogs put in new highs yesterday – trend still upward for now
  • Hog slaughter projected at 483K
  • Cash lean index for May 27: up 0.36 @ 113.44
  • O/I: Lost 1,815 for Jun hogs & Jun pork cutout lost 43 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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