TFM Midday Update 07-13-2021

CORN

  • Sep up 8 @ 5.53 & Dec up 9 @ 5.42
  • Greatest crop stress is in western Corn Belt – 10 days of hot & dry expected
  • US corn rated at 65% good/excellent
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/12 down 2,857 contracts
  • Corn-export outlook for US raised 50 million bu from last month
  • Grain inspections for the week 994k tons versus 1,236k last wk

SOYBEANS

  • Aug up 15 @ 14.19 & Nov up 9 @ 13.59
  • US soybeans rated at 59% good/excellent
  • Next year is looking for carryout to be closer to 100 vs USDA’s 155
  • China June soybean imports YTD rose 8.7% to 48.955m tons
  • Canola oil prices surge 20% in 5 days on concern over Canadian crop
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/12 down 465 contracts
  • Grain inspections for the week 201K tons versus 208K last wk

WHEAT

  • Sep wheat up 2 @ 6.43, Sep KC up 2 @ 6.17, Sep MNPLS up 9 @ 8.67
  • North Dakota & parts of Montana & MN facing 10 days of stressful conditions
  • US winter wheat 59% harvest vs 65% last year
  • US spring wheat rated 16% good/excellent versus 68% last year
  • Supplies tightening up more than anticipated with smaller crops in US & Russia
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/12 up 2,325 contracts SRW
  • Grain inspections for the week 424k tons versus 362k last wk

CATTLE

  • Aug LC up 1.45 @ 121.27 & Aug FC down 0.12 @ 158.02
  • Demand report Monday was neutral
  • Choice cut of beef prices continue to fall
  • Live cattle appears to have found a support level for now
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for July 9: up 1.05 @ 153.82

HOGS

  • Aug hogs up 1.77 @ 105.80 & Jul pork cutout down 1.47 @ 118.00
  • July hogs still have chart gap – 3 days left to fill it before expiring
  • Strong futures yesterday indicate traders still willing to be buyers
  • Good exports support strong demand & supplies could tighten further
  • Hog slaughter projected at 468K
  • Cash Lean Index for July 8: down 0.03 @ 109.74

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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