TFM Midday Update 07-15-2021

CORN

  • Sep down 3 @ 5.64 & Dec down 4 @ 5.54
  • Corn export sales at 138,800 mt
  • US ethanol stocks fall 0.1% to 21.13M bbl
  • Parched Argentine river cuts into grain exports
  • Dryness continues in central Brazil with drought stress falling on corn
  • Rains beneficial to eastern & southern IA
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/14 down 9,704 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Aug down 5 @ 14.47 & Nov down 5 @ 13.77
  • Low export sales for this week – 27,700 mt
  • Projections for June soybean crush seen at 159.5M bu
  • Russian government debating extending soybean export restrictions
  • Despite recent rains, future forecasts ahead are troublesome for crops
  • Soy, palm, & canola oil continue to surge lending support to soybeans
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/14 down 3,798 contracts

WHEAT

  • Sep wheat up 10 @ 6.64, Sep KC up 6 @ 6.33, Sep MNPLS up 18 @ 8.91
  • Strong export today for wheat – reported at 424,700 mt
  • Egypt wheat purchases are running 22% behind a year ago
  • EU expecting a later harvest but projection for yields are raised
  • Demand for global corn will slow at wheat will be used more in livestock rations
  • Rains disrupting harvest in some areas while northern Plains can’t buy rain
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 7/14 down 260 contracts SRW

CATTLE

  • Aug LC down 0.10 @ 121.15 & Aug FC up 0.65 @ 157.52
  • So far uneventful cash trade & lower boxed beef prices this wk
  • Packers have not purchased a large amount of cattle so far
  • Export sales of beef 9,300 mt – down 61% from last week
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle Cash Index for July 12: up 0.83 @ 152.99

HOGS

  • Aug hogs down 0.82 @ 104.55 & Aug pork cutout down 0.82 @ 111.725
  • Cash prices still increasing despite futures lower
  • Export sales for pork 10,600 MT – down 76% from last week
  • Jul futures expire today – currently trading @ 112.00
  • Hog slaughter projected at 467K
  • Cash Lean Index for July 12: up 0.57 @ 110.67

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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