TFM Midday Update 08-03-2021

CORN

  • Sep down 9 @ 5.49 & Dec down 9 @ 5.50
  • US crop conditions – 62% G/E vs 64% last week
  • US corn silking 91% vs 79% last week
  • US corn used for ethanol at 439.9M bu in June
  • Grain inspections at 1,384k tons vs 1,184k last week
  • Recent crop estimates have Brazil corn output at 77.5 mmt – 15.5 mmt below USDA
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/2, up 4,510 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Aug down 36 @ 13.82 & Nov down 41 @ 13.12
  • Soybeans down this morning as crop ratings improve
  • US crop conditions – 60% G/E vs 58% last week
  • Soybeans blooming 86% G/E vs 76% last week
  • US soybean crushing at 162M bu in June
  • Grain inspections at 181k tons vs 242k last week
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/2, down 5,348 contracts

WHEAT

  • Sep wheat down 8 @ 7.21, Sep KC down 4 @ 6.98, Sep MNPLS down 14 @ 9.08
  • US spring wheat 10% G/E vs 9% last week
  • US spring wheat harvest 17% vs 3% last week
  • Winter wheat harvest almost complete in US at 91%
  • Grain inspections at 388k tons vs 515k last week
  • Russian wheat yields running lower – 3.48 tons/hectare versus 3.66 last year
  • Russian internal wheat prices up on worsening crop outlook
  • Preliminary changes in futures open interest as of 8/2, up 1,072 contracts SRW

CATTLE

  • Aug LC up 1.17 @ 123.75 & Aug FC up 1.65 @ 159.90
  • Labor Day orders are being placed amid strong demand
  • Boxed beef moving higher as plants may struggle to meet demand
  • Feedlots have a better chance at getting higher cash prices this week
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Feeder Cattle Cash Index for July 30: up 1.54 @ 155.58

HOGS

  • Aug hogs up 0.50 @ 108.00 & Aug pork cutout up 1.87 @ 122.50
  • Sharp increase of cutouts is a strong indicator of good demand
  • Demand should spur packers to bid higher
  • Will China’s backing off, cause supplies to back up to domestic market?
  • Hog slaughter projected at 470K
  • Cash Lean Index for July 29: up 0.06 @ 112.08

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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