TFM Midday Update 08-31-2022

Provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc.


  • Sep corn down 11 @ 6.69
  • Corn is lower this morning, but has shown impressive gains of over 40 cents on the month
  • Grain prices in general are lower after the UK’s August inflation data was higher than expected
  • Dr. Cordonnier has called for a drop in the US corn yield by 3 bpa to 170 bpa
  • The Midwest is forecast to be mostly warm and dry over the next few weeks


  • Sep soybeans up 6 @ 15.19
  • Soybeans have risen off their early morning lows and are now positive on the day
  • Private exporters reported sales of 167,000 mt of soybeans for delivery to China during the 22/23 marketing year
  • Crude oil is down around a dollar a barrel today, but soybean oil is remaining firm
  • Monday’s USDA report for last week showed the value of soybean products exceeding the cost of soybeans by 5.82 a bushel in Illinois and 6.05 in Iowa, historically wide margins


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  • Sep wheat up 3 @ 8.01, Sep KC up 3 @ 9.12, & Sep MNPLS up 3 @ 9.07
  • Wheat has come off its early lows as well and is now positive on the day
  • The Ukrainian ag minister said that the ongoing war could drop their winter wheat planted acreage another 20% to 9.4 million acres
  • The strength of the US dollar has temporarily put US wheat exports at a disadvantage to the world’s less expensive producers
  • Deliverable stocks in Kansas City total 60.357 mb vs 81.894 mb a year ago


  • Aug LC up 2.000 @ 144.500 & Sep FC up 0.200 @ 182.375
  • Front month contracts for both live and feeder cattle are higher while all deferred months are lower as boxed beef falls and grain prices move lower
  • Cash is expected to be steady for the week with asking prices in the South at 144
  • Today is the last trading day for August live cattle
  • Choice cuts down 3.25 and select down 3.07
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 126K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 8/30: down 0.16 @ 183.00


  • Oct hogs down 1.450 @ 92.125 & Oct pork cutout down 1.300 @ 102.400
  • Hogs are moving lower with a dip in cash and a drop in the cutout of 0.41 as bellies continue to show weakness
  • Packers may need to be aggressive this week to meet demand needs
  • There is still a gap to fill for Oct at 89.75
  • National Direct Afternoon report declined 2.52
  • Hog slaughter projected at 477K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 8/31: down 1.90 @ 109.36


Amanda Brill

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