TFM Midday Update 09-17-2021

CORN

  • Dec down 3 @ 5.26
  • Futures lower ahead of what should be a good harvest weekend
  • It’s estimated by Sunday 8-9% of the US crop will be harvested
  • Reports of disease and disappointing yields starting to circulate
  • China’s internal corn prices continue to stay low
  • Argentina has begun planting what it has projected as a record crop
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/16: down 6,314 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 12 @ 12.83
  • Futures pressured by fall in veg oil, palm oil, bean oil & canola
  • Exports were decent but Gulf exports are still struggling
  • China’s internal price of soybeans at an all-year high close to $20 pbu
  • Soybean planting has begun in Brazil – but still too dry
  • Drought in Argentina & Brazil expected with the arrival of La Nina
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/16: down 1,240 contracts

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat down 4 @ 7.08,  Dec KC down 5 @ 7.14, Dec MNPLS down 1 @ 9.06
  • Wheat down slightly for the morning but still strong for the week
  • Trade still digesting news that the EU’s milling wheat could be low
  • In comparison to Russian Ag Minister’s projection of 69.3 mmt – other Russian Ag’s are projecting 74-76 mmt
  • Russian harvest at 71% complete – the verdict will be in soon
  • Preliminary changes in futures as of 9/16: down 4,243 SRW contracts

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down 0.85 @ 122.75 & Oct FC down 0.45 @ 156.65
  • Cash trade $1 lower than last week on falling boxed beef prices
  • Rebound from lows not able to hold, more selling could be ahead
  • Choice cuts down 1.82 & select down 3.62 yesterday
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 119K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 9/15: down 0.18 @ 154.02

HOGS

  • Oct hogs down 0.70 @ 73.75 & Oct pork cutout down 0.90 @ 89.10
  • Exports weaker than anticipated but China was back as a buyer
  • Cutouts up 0.27 – 3rd consecutive day higher
  • Lower cash indicated packers are getting sufficient hogs for demand
  • Hog slaughter projected at 473K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 9/15: down 0.90 @ 94.45

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates