CORN
- March up 25 @ 5.17 & Dec up 10 @ 4.50
- Notable rain for central & N. Argentina Friday & Saturday – dryness expected after
- Funds net sellers of 12K contracts & O/I -3,700 contracts
- Corn exports are running up 78% vs a year ago
- China raised forecast for 20/21 corn imports amid high corn prices & hog feed demand
- Argentine farmers continue sales strike on selling corn despite gov’t lifting export ban
SOYBEANS
- Jan up 18 @ 13.92 & Nov up 16 @ 11.72
- Conditions will be very good in much of Brazil; S. Brazil still drier than preferred
- Funds net buyers of 7K contracts & O/I -9,700 contracts
- Soybean exports are running up 78% vs a year ago
- Brazil in some areas has begun soybean harvest, but at a slower pace delayed planting
- Daily export sales of 120K mt soybeans to unknown delivery
WHEAT
- March up 25 @ 6.60, KC Mar up 27 @ 6.21, MNPLS Mar up 11 @ 6.25
- Winterkill is not much of a threat to US for next 10 days & S. Russia getting snow/moisture
- Funds net sellers of 3K contracts SRW wheat & O/I -4K contracts & HRW -335 contracts
- Wheat exports are running down 1% vs a year ago
- Russia still needing to stabilize food prices, considering inc. future export tax beyond current $30 per tonne
CATTLE
- Feb LC down 0.60 @ 112.82 & Jan FC down 2.05 @ 133.95
- Fund trader buying deferred contracts but cash news weak
- FC continue to fall as support levels of 135.00 refused to hold
- Today’s slaughter est. at 119K head
- Cash trade quiet for LC & @ 135.63, up 0.28 for 1/7 for FC cash index
- O/I: -5,694 contracts for Feb LC & O/I: -397 contracts for Jan FC
HOGS
- Feb Hogs up 0.80 @ 69.32 Feb Pork Cutout up 0.85 @ 79.15
- Key to 2021 trend will be demand for pork from China
- Momentum in pork cutout values attract buyers in front month futures
- Hog slaughter estimated at 495K & Saturday runs are expected near 259K head
- Cash lean index @ 63.34 up 0.38 for 1/7
- O/I: -6,292 positions for hogs & pork cutout futures +12 positions