TFM Midday Update 1-8-2021

CORN

  • March up 3 @ 4.97 & Dec up 1 @ 4.41
  • China’s corn price reached another all-time high
  • Argentina debating whether to lift their corn export ban
  • S. American weather remains a concern, Argentina 85% planted
  • Argentina’s early planted corn is rated 15% good/excellent

SOYBEANS

  • Jan up 17 @ 13.77 & Nov up 13 @ 11.65
  • Despite weak exports yesterday, soy complex rebounds today
  • Trade expects the USDA to revise higher U.S. soy exports next week
  • USDA might reduce both Argentine soy production & US ending stocks
  • Weather in S. America more promised in next 10 days  for central/south Brazil
  • Funds remain invested with net-long of more than 400K contracts
  • Daily Sales to China – 204K mt

WHEAT

  • March down 2 @ 6.40, KC Mar down 2 @ 5.96, Mar MPNL up 3 @ 6.15
  • China’s corn price reached another all-time high
  • Paris Milling futures are back up after 2 days of losses
  • Argentine wheat now pegged at 17 mmt, 1 mmt lower than USDA’s estimate
  • Moderate rains expected for southwestern Plains – but still overall too dry
  • Traders & producers start to contemplate planting intentions for 2021

CATTLE

  • Feb LC down 0.55 @ 114.45 & Jan GF down 0.60 @ 136.10
  • Feed costs & grain prices continue to pressure markets
  • Continued rise in Covid & meat demand concerns continue to keep traders at bay
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 118K head
  • Live trade around 112 for LC & @ 136.13, down 0.43 as of 1/6 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -1509 contracts for Feb LC & O/I: -122 contracts for Jan FC

HOGS

  • Feb Hogs down 0.32 @ 68.80 & Feb Pork Cutout down 0.02 @ 78.17
  • Deferred months stay supported as traders look at long term support for pork demand
  • Feed costs on the rise also putting pressure on futures
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 489K, Saturday runs expected near 387K head
  • Cash lean index @ 62.96, up 0.54 for 1/6
  • O/I: -1687 positions for hogs & pork cutout futures -29 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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