TFM Midday Update 10-09-2020

CORN

  • Dec up 5-1/4 cents @ 3.92-1/4
  • 23.3 jump in 41 days in USDA report sets high bar for the bulls
  • There is talk that China has been an active buyer of US corn for April delivery
  • Trade expects USDA report to lower corn yield, production, & harvested acres
  • Funds net sellers of 5K contracts – O/I – 10,700 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • November up 14-1/4 @ 10.64
  • Today’s report needs to support top-heavy market
  • Rumors that delays in Brazil soybeans plantings could drive China buying U.S. soybeans
  • Trade expects USDA report to lower corn yield, production, & potentially harvested acres
  • No daily export sales announced from China
  • Funds net sellers of 1K contracts – O/I – 7,200 contracts

WHEAT

  • Dec CHI up 6-1/2 @ 6.02 & Dec KC up 7-3/4 @ 5.36 3/4 & Dec MPLS up 8-1/2 @ 5.51
  • Ukraine receiving rain however Russia remains dry for the next week
  • Trade expects USDA report to decrease ending stocks & world ending stocks
  • U.S. weather all still too dry foster good planting conditions, but favorable for winter wheat harvest
  • Funds net sellers 11K contracts of SRW – O/I -5,900 contracts SRW & -955 contracts HRW

CATTLE

  • Oct LC up 0.57 @ 110.30 & Oct FC up 0.22 @ 138.27
  • Highest average weight since Nov 2015 could drive product up
  • Trade remains light ahead of USDA report regarding price impact on grains
  • Cash prices for Wednesday were $107-108 for LC  & 142.60 for FC

HOGS

  • Oct up 0.37 @ 77.72
  • November 9 CME launches Pork Cutout futures & options
  • China finds African swine fever in piglets in Chongqing
  • Traders need confirmation from cash & pork values to keep price momentum
  • Strong demand will keep front month supported

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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