TFM Midday Update 10-13-2022

Provided by Stewart-Peterson Inc.

CORN

  • Dec corn up 2 @ 6.95
  • USDA reduced the corn export estimate by 125 mb
  • Navigation on the Mississippi river is still a big concern
  • Economic concerns continue to weigh on commodity and financial markets
  • CPI data came in at 8.2% (higher than expected)

SOYBEANS

  • Nov soybeans up 3 @ 13.99
  • USDA increased their estimate of Brazil’s soybean crop to 152.0 mmt (from 149.0 mmt)
  • USDA lowered the soybean crop to 4.313 bb and lowered the yield to 49.8 bpa
  • US carryout at 200 mb is the lowest number in 7 years
  • China is reportedly increasing covid lockdowns again, raising worry about their demand

 

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WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 21 @ 9.03, Dec KC up 23 @ 9.93, & Dec MNPLS up 19 @ 9.86
  • US wheat export estimate is the lowest in 51 years
  • US wheat ending stocks at 576 mb are the lowest in 15 years
  • Russia continues their attacks on Ukraine with missiles reportedly fired at 40 cities

CATTLE

  • Oct LC up 0.750 @ 146.925 & Oct FC up 0.050 @ 175.550
  • Feedlots may be holding out for higher prices
  • Cattle numbers are tightening due to drought, as well as strong slaughter and high feed prices
  • Demand has been holding up, but remains a concern due to the economy
  • Choice cuts down 0.09 and select up 1.41
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 127K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 10/12: up 0.40 @ 175.04

HOGS

  • Oct hogs up 0.400 @ 93.500 Oct pork cutout down 0.100 @ 102.325
  • October hogs expire tomorrow
  • The December contract remains at a large discount to cash
  • USDA reduced exports on the WASDE report which was unfriendly to hogs
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 2.41
  • Hog slaughter projected at 488K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 10/13: down 0.46 @ 92.49

Author

Amanda Brill

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