TFM Midday Update 10-15-20

CORN

  • Dec up 6 cents @ 4.02-1/2
  • China corn futures hit a record high amid worries over crop damage
  • Long-term, China demand to support tighter US ending stocks
  • Ethanol production avg. 937K barrel per day, up 1.52% from last week
  • Basis could see pressure this week with bushels coming in
  • Funds net buyers 15K contracts – O/I: +2,100 contracts
  • Dec resistance @ 4.01-1/4 and support at 3.80

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 6-1/2 cents @ 10.62-3/4
  • Soybeans firm on Chinese demand, Brazilian dryness
  • Some long liquidation or some back & fill needed
  • Export sales of 261K mt – buyer China
  • Moisture expected this week for Brazil
  • Funds net buyers of 9K contracts – O/I: + 5,500 contracts
  • Nov resistance @ 10.79-3/4 & support @ 10.28

WHEAT

  • Dec CHI up 15-1/2 cents @ 6.12 & Dec KC up 15 cents @ 5.50 & Dec MPLS up 9-1/4 @ 5.55-3/4
  • Brazil millers oppose sale of GMO wheat as importing costs would rise
  • Weather continues to push markets further
  • Ruble action continues to favor Russia in export markets
  • Rains look to be concentrated to eastern growing areas short-term
  • USD up today – currently at 93.81
  • Funds net buyers of 3K contracts of SRW – O/I: +3,600 contracts SRW & + 1,400 contracts HRW
  • Dec KC resistance @ 5.52-3/4 & support at 5.15

CATTLE

  • Oct LC down 0.35 @ 108.02 & Oct FC up 0.15 @ 138.52
  • Outside forces turn negative with beef lowest since August 13
  • Traders remain concerned about fundamental weakness
  • Cattle supplies expected to tighten
  • Uncertainty around retail demand keeps pressure on prices
  • Corn rally continues to pressure FC
  • Cash prices 108 live & 140.92 as of 10/13 for FC
  • O/I:-1,644 contracts for LC & O/I: – 213 contracts for FC

HOGS

  • Dec up 0.55 @ 68.97
  • April hog reversal; 74.90 resistance down to 71.02 key support
  • Renewed buying moving back into front months
  • November 9 CME launches Pork Cutout futures & options
  • Strong export sales expected
  • O/I: +2,439 contracts

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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