TFM Midday Update 10-15-21

CORN

  • Dec up 8 @ 5.25
  • Brazil corn crop plantings are increasing – conditions are favorable due to recent rains
  • France’s corn harvest is 15% done vs 62% average
  • Ukraine corn harvest is 22% done – looks like they will have a 39 mmt crop
  • January corn on China’s Dalian exchange is near the equivalent of $10.09 per bushel

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 11 @ 12.17
  • 20% of China’s soybean crushers have downtime due to coal / electricity shortages
  • Talk that in the near future US soybean crush capacity will increase for green fuel and soybean oil
  • November soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange are around the equivalent of $18.89 per bushel
  • USDA reported an increase of 42.2 mb of soybean export sales

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 12 @ 7.37, Dec KC up 15 @ 7.46, Dec MNPLS up 16 @ 9.76
  • US HRW wheat 2022 prices are competitive to Europe and the Black Sea
  • At current pace, Europe’s wheat exports would be 47 mmt
  • Drought could remain a concern into 2022
  • Rumors yesterday that China bought 5-6 cargoes of French wheat

CATTLE

  • Dec LC up 0.275 @ 130.575 & Apr FC down 1.175 @ 164.125
  • A strong stock market could lead to better beef demand as traders have more faith in the economy
  • Cattle futures have rebounded from some of their recent losses
  • Boxed beef may have found a bottom
  • Choice cuts up 0.30 and select up 1.98
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 109K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 10/14: down 0.25 @ 154.01

HOGS

  • Feb hogs up 0.850 @ 81.150 & Feb pork cutout @ 92.775
  • There is still a gap below current levels, but it was almost filled yesterday
  • Once the gaps are filled, traders may be more willing to buy
  • Packers remain nonaggressive due to ample supplies
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 0.14
  • Hog slaughter projected at 474K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 10/15: down 0.91 @ 88.82

Author

Brandon Doherty

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