TFM Midday Update 10-23-20

CORN

  • Dec up ½ cent @ 4.16 3/4
  • Argentina has received beneficial rain & expected more this weekend
  • U.S. harvest delays expected due to rain/snow for Dakotas, MN, WI
  • Daily export sales of 100K mt to unknown destination
  • November options expire today
  • Funds net buyers of 8K contracts – O/I: +14,700 contracts
  • Dec support @ 4.09 & resistance @ 4.24

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 3 ¾ cents @ 10.70 1/2
  • Fall in Argentine peso, caused farmers to hoard beans, sending business back to U.S.
  • U.S. harvest delays expected due to rain/snow for Dakotas, MN, WI
  • Most of Brazil will see rain in the next 10 days
  • November options expire today, first notice day for Nov futures 10/30
  • Funds net buyers of 2K contracts – O/I: +1,200 contracts
  • Jan support @ 10.63 & resistance @ 10.85

WHEAT

  • Dec Chi up 6 ½ @ 6.29 1/4, Dec KC wheat up 7 ¾ cents @ 5.68, Dec MNPLS up 3 @ 5.77 1/2
  • Buenos Aires Exchanged dropped Argentine crop to 16.8 mmt (USDA @ 19 mmt)
  • Russia still expected to get sporadic showers, but not enough to ease concerns
  • U.S. HRW wheat will receive some needed rains during the weekend/early next wk
  • November options expire today
  • Funds net sellers of 5K contracts SRW – O/I: +2,400 contracts SRW & +2,200 contracts HRW
  • CHI resistance @ 6.17 & support @ 6.38, KC resistance @ 5.53 & support @ 5.80 & MNPLS resistance @ 5.70 & support @ 5.88

CATTLE

  • Oct LC up .17 @ 103.50 & Oct FC down .17 @ 133.65
  • U.S. livestock stress in northern plains as temps drop and snow flies
  • Oversold market, cattle on feed report today (out at 2:00 CT) might give direction
  • Cattle on Feed report, projected to reveal a number that is up 3.5% from last year
  • Feeder cattle options/futures expire 10/29, Live cattle futures expire 10/30
  • Cash prices in the south @ 107 for LC  & @ 135.53 as of 10/21 for FC
  • O/I: +1,486 contracts for LC & O/I: +845 contracts for FC

HOGS

  • Dec up .60 @ 66.82
  • China imports to slow in 2021 as hog herds expand rapidly
  • With big losses this wk, today may not be a sign of confidence in Dec futures
  • Lean hogs with expanded limits of 4.50 today
  • Cash lean index for 10/21 was 78.60
  • O/I: -3,3735 contracts

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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