TFM Midday Update 10-25-2021

CORN

  • Dec down 1 @ 5.37
  • Rains today in the eastern Corn Belt disrupting harvest
  • January corn on China’s Dalian exchange is around the equivalent of $10.29 per bushel
  • Ethanol profitability remains strong
  • Quality is a concern in North China where there have been heavy rains
  • Central Brazil received some heavy wind, rains, and hail

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 11 @ 12.32
  • Despite rumors last week, there was a lack of sale announcements
  • November soybeans on China’s Dalian exchange are around the equivalent of $19.32 per bushel
  • Brazilian crop conditions remain favorable – likely record crop in 2022
  • Malaysian palm oil production should ramp up – their government reportedly is reopening the industry to foreign workers

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 5 @ 7.61, Dec KC up 3 @ 7.77, Dec MNPLS up 9 @ 10.22
  • In China 900,000 mt of wheat reserves were auctioned off
  • The US SRW crop has good soil moisture, with more rains coming this week
  • Drought remains a concern in HRW crop areas
  • MPLS wheat is above $10 for the first time since 2012
  • Paris milling wheat futures are making new highs again

CATTLE

  • Dec LC up 1.600 @ 129.925 & Apr FC up 1.875 @ 163.575
  • Cattle on Feed report was somewhat friendly
  • Oct 1 on feed numbers were 99%, placements at 97%, and marketings at 97%
  • Placements were significantly lower than the expected 101.4%
  • Choice cuts up 1.16 and select up 0.39
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K

HOGS

  • Feb hogs up 0.225 @ 76.850 & Feb pork cutout @ 90.500
  • Hog futures are oversold
  • December and February have gaps in the charts above current levels, which may be filled at some point
  • Packers can obtain hogs without much difficulty
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 0.20
  • Hog slaughter projected at 476K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 10/25: down 1.13 @ 83.70

Author

Brandon Doherty

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