TFM Midday Update 10-28-20

CORN

  • Dec down 11 1/4 cent @ 4.04 1/2
  • Brazilian corn prices surpassed a 2007 record
  • Brazilian corn exports for Oct. expected to drop .55 million tons
  • Daily export sale of 207K mt – to S. Korea
  • Ethanol production averaged 941K barrels per day, +3.07 vs last wk
  • Funds net sellers of 4K contracts – O/I: +9,100 contracts
  • Dec support @ 4.09 & resistance @ 4.16

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 16 1/2 @ 10.65 3/4
  • Recent rains help jumpstart Brazil soybean sowings
  • Daily export sale of 110K mt – to Egypt & 120K mt – to unknown
  • First notice day for Nov futures 10/30
  • Funds net sellers of 5K contracts – O/I: -22,200 contracts
  • Jan support @ 10.63 & resistance @ 10.77

WHEAT

  • Dec Chi down 7 1/4 @ 6.08 3/4, Dec KC down 4 1/2 @ 5.44 3/4, Dec MNPLS down 8 3/4 cent @ 5.52 3/4
  • Wheat futures in Paris hit a 10-day low
  • Further selling pressure today due to rains in Russia
  • US Dollar down currently at 93.50 – up .56
  • Funds net sellers of 2K contracts SRW – O/I: +5,400 contracts SRW & + 1,000 contracts HRW
  • CHI resistance @ 5.87 & support @ 6.15, KC resistance @ 5.23 & support @ 5.53 & MNPLS resistance @ 5.54 & support @ 5.61

CATTLE

  • Dec LC up .62 @ 104.70 & Nov FC up 1.52 @ 133.82
  • Covid cases on the rise keep market wary
  • Ice storm in U.S. Plains may lend support
  • Current-cut out value 163.61 (+.21 from yesterday)
  • Slaughter keeping good pace, yesterday reported 117K
  • Oct feeder cattle options/futures expire 10/29, Oct Live cattle futures expire 10/30
  • Cash prices quiet for LC & @ 133.70 as of 10/23 for FC
  • O/I: + 4,225 contracts for LC & O/I: -920 contracts for FC

HOGS

  • Dec down 1.45 @ 66.22
  • Shot-term demand factors turning more negative
  • Pork carcass fell to 88.83 – pressured by price drop of hams
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 492K – even with last year
  • Cash lean index @ 77.47 – $10+ premium above Dec futures
  • O/I: -287 contracts

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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