TFM Midday Update 11-10-21

CORN

  •  Dec up 8 @ 5.63
  • Corn up today despite USDA’s record high yield projection of 177 bpa
  • 16% of corn remains to be harvested in US, rains in key areas may delay progress
  • Strong ethanol demand supportive, however production dropped last week
  • Brazil corn off to a good start, Argentina expecting rains this weekend
  • Still uncertain on situation in China, prices currently up .6% @ 10.83

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 4 @ 12.04
  • Soybean oil is leading the soy complex higher
  • USDA’s ending stock number has set ignited a rally of 50+ cents
  • China’s internal price at 8 month low, concerns for future purchases
  • Increased crush activity should be on the way to help in export loss
  • Brazil crop off to a good start, with more rain this week

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 12 @ 7.90, Dec KC up 13 @ 8.06, Dec MNPLS up 18 @ 10.41
  • USDA lowering estimate of HRW ending stocks encourages buying
  • Concerns still remain that US & global wheat supplies are tight
  • Soil moisture in key areas in northwestern Plains will be important to US 2022 crop
  • Russia’s wheat exports are down 32% from last year
  • Although 91% of winter wheat is planted, the remainder may get delayed by rains

CATTLE

  • Dec LC down .60 @ 131.60 & Jan FC down 1.55 @ 158.27
  • Cattle drops after US inflation reported to hit a 30-year high
  • Feeder cattle pressured by live cattle futures & corn prices on the rise
  • Choice cuts down 0.85 (287.8) and select up 2.02 (270.62)
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 11/8: up .24 @ 154.86

HOGS

  • Feb hogs up .30 @ 79.05 & Feb pork down 1.02 @ 91.00
  • The chart gap below in Dec and Feb has been filled but remains open in April
  • Packers over bought by 10K head, not aggressive in today’s trade
  • Hog slaughter projected at 479K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 11/8: down .06 @ 79.23

 

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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