TFM Midday Update 11-12-2020

CORN

  • Dec corn down 9 @ 4.08 & March down 9 @ 4.18
  • Weather friendly, harvest should wrap up this week
  • Argentina & southern Brazil dryness continue to be of concern
  • Ethanol production avg 977K barrels – down 5.15% from last yr
  • Funds net sellers of 20K contracts – Preliminary O/I +5,500 contracts
  • March support @ 4.22 – resistance @ 4.36

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 11 @ 11.32 & Jan down 12 @ 11.41
  • Through end of November Argentina expected to stay dry
  • Palm oil rose to contract high – highest price since 2012 on declining production
  • Funds incredibly long, could be 275K+ by week’s end
  • Funds net buyers of 11K contracts – Preliminary – O/I Jan -2,200 contracts
  • Jan support @ 11.18 – resistance @ 11.62

WHEAT

  • Dec Chi down 8 @ 5.90, Dec KC down 10 @ 5.44, Dec MNPLS down 5 @ 5.50
  • Paris milling futures higher today, due to declining domestic supplies
  • Despite stocks being tight, Russia will not impose any export restrictions until February
  • U.S. wheat prices still over-priced, but Russia is at record high prices in comparison
  • Funds net sellers of 8K contracts SRW – Preliminary O/I -2,900 SRW & -2,300 contracts KC
  • May Chi support @ 6.00 – resistance @ 6.15, May KC support @ 5.61 – resistance @5.82

CATTLE

  • Dec LC down .35 @ 112.07 & Nov FC down .35 @ 140.27
  • Concern that light packer interest may limit cash market gains
  • Support from boxed beef prices increasing
  • Corona still pressures market as new highs are set for infection cases
  • Projected slaughter for today est. at 121K head
  • Cash prices developing around 112-114 for LC & 135.97 as of 11/10 for FC cash index

HOGS

  • Dec Hogs up 1.12 @ 65.92 & Dec Pork Cutout up .85 @ 81.82
  • Commercial buyers enter keeping support above 65.00
  • December futures almost even with February – 1.00 difference
  • Hog slaughter 490K estimated today
  • Cash lean index @ 71.37 as of 11/10
  • O/I: -6,687 contracts for Dec

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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