TFM Midday Update 11-13-2020

CORN

  • Dec corn up 2 @ 4.10 & March up 1 @ 4.19
  • Break in S. American weather as moderate rains projected for Argentina
  • Covid continues to keep pressure on grains
  • Export sales of 978.3K mt – down 63% from last wk – Mexico #1 buyer
  • Traders continue to fear potential lockdowns & effects on production
  • Informa projects corn acreas for 2021 at 91.7 million

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 8 @ 11.45 & Jan up 6 @ 11.52
  • Break in S. American weather as with heavy rains projected for Brazil
  • No news for sales to China or elsewhere in past couple of days
  • Export sales 1.468M mt – down 4% from last wk – China #1 buyer
  • Informa projects soybean acreage for 2021 @ 89.1 million

WHEAT

  • Dec Chi up 5 @ 5.93, Dec KC up 6 @ 5.50, Dec MNPLS up 5 @ 5.54
  • Rosario Grain Exchange lowers Argentine wheat production to 16.7 mmt vs USDA’s 17.8
  • Gulf HRW wheat prices closed the gap with Black Sea region
  • Export sales at 300.5K mt – down 50% from last week – Guatemala #1 buyer
  • U.S. Plains expected to get relief in rain/snow mixture this weekend/next week
  • Informa projects wheat acreage for 2021 @ 46 million

CATTLE

  • Dec LC down 1.40 @ 110.57 & Nov FC down .80 @ 139.27
  • Futures unsupportive despite firmness in cash & beef values this week
  • Exports at 14.3K mt, China #1 buyer
  • Projected slaughter for today est. at 119K head
  • Cash prices seen around 110-111  for LC & 136.70 as of 11/11 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -7,614 contracts for Dec LC & O/I: +434 contracts for Nov FC

HOGS

  • Dec Hogs down 1.35 @ 64.42 & Dec Pork Cutout down 1.45 @ 80.17
  • Lack of support in cash & pork cutout values pulling on market
  • Exports sales of 42.5K mt, China buying 21.1K mt – almost half of total exports
  • Strong export sales to China this week, but for how much longer is the question
  • Hog slaughter 486K estimated today
  • Cash lean index @ 71.32 as of 11/11
  • O/I: -4,437 contracts for Dec

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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