TFM Midday Update 11-17-2021

CORN

  • Dec corn up 7 @ 5.78
  • US weekly ethanol production expected to be 4-5% higher than last week’s
  • Light rains in eastern Corn Belt that will cause only minor harvest delays
  • Rains expected to bring relief to southern Brazil
  • La Nina still concerning for Argentina & southern Brazil areas
  • China still not showing up to buy corn since May

SOYBEANS

  • November soybeans up 16 @ 12.61
  • Private exporters reported sales of 132K mt to China
  • Soybeans took out 50-day moving average
  • China buying and technicals have triggered the bulls today
  • US harvest should come close to wrapping up this week
  • China believed to be buying beans for late winter
  • As of February, Brazil beans will be 25 cents cheaper than US

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 16 @ 8.26, Dec KC up 12 @ 8.33, Dec MNPLS up 6 @ 10.21
  • SovEcon sees Ukraine 2022 wheat output falling due to weather
  • Canada wheat acreage could climb 6% in 2022 season
  • After yesterday’s selloff, wheat back up strong today
  • Paris milling futures rebounding today as well
  • New contract highs in the US dollar not affecting wheat for now
  • Vietnam removed import tariffs from US wheat

CATTLE

  • Dec cattle up 0.30 @ 132.02 & Jan feeders down 0.75 @ 162.67
  • US cattle on feed placements expected to rise 2-3%
  • Futures continue to hold support levels despite weak cash
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 122K
  • Choice down 1.07 (282.13) and select down 0.69 (266.59)
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 11/15: unavailable at this time

HOGS

  • Dec hogs down 1.25 @ 76.47 & Dec pork cutouts down 1.52 @ 93.45
  • Export demand may increase over time if ASF spreads in Europe
  • Deferred futures pushing higher in anticipation of higher prices next year
  • Hog slaughter projected at 485K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for Nov 12: down 0.51 @ 76.17

 

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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