TFM Midday Update 11-3-2021

CORN

  • Dec down 9 @ 5.64
  • Brazil’s first corn crop is reported to be 73% planted vs 64% last year
  • Matif corn is making new highs
  • Corn has seen an 80-cent rally over the last 3 weeks from October lows
  • Funds may be done buying corn for the near future
  • Rains in Europe have slowed corn harvest and rallied prices there

SOYBEANS

  • Nov down 15 @ 12.29
  • Brazil soybean plantings are reported to be 52% done vs 42% last year
  • There may be Brazilian soybeans available for export in January
  • There is question surrounding what will be done with extra meal if the soybean crush increases to produce more oil for biofuel
  • Soybeans may be overvalued unless South America develops a weather problem

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat down 10 @ 7.92, Dec KC down 8 @ 7.90, Dec MNPLS down 16 @ 10.60
  • Paris milling wheat futures reached a record high yesterday (around the equivalent of $9.36 per bushel)
  • All three wheat classes reached new contract highs yesterday, but ended the session lower
  • This week Ethiopia, Japan, and Pakistan are tendering for wheat
  • All three wheat classes could be considered overbought technically

CATTLE

  • Dec LC up 2.175 @ 132.175 & Jan FC up 2.675 @ 159.700
  • Feeder cattle have seen a nice recovery
  • The demand for feeder cattle is good
  • Packers are willing to pay more because of strong demand
  • Choice cuts down 0.20 and select up 1.74
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 11/2: down 0.30 @ 156.26

HOGS

  • Feb hogs up 0.800 @ 77.950 & Feb pork cutout @ 91.000
  • December and February have gaps in the charts above current levels, which may be filled at some point (though they are about $7 higher)
  • Packers are still not aggressive
  • Hogs continue to show weakness in cash
  • National Direct Afternoon report declined 0.05
  • Hog slaughter projected at 479K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 11/3: down 0.12 @ 79.04

Author

Brandon Doherty

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