TFM Midday Update 11-4-2020

CORN

  • Dec down 1 @ 3.99
  • Corn virtually flat among pending election results
  • Brazil corn prices are record high
  • Ethanol production avg 961K barrels per day – down 5.23% last year
  • Funds net buyers of 10K contracts – O/I -7,306 contracts

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 11 @ 10.70
  • Palm oil hits highest in 10 months on tight supply outlook
  • Weather in South America too dry & warm for the next 10 days
  • Brazil soy stocks are the smallest in over 20 years
  • Soy crush supportive to prices, at reaching $1.45 per bu.
  • USDA report Tuesday, could lower yield & raise exports
  • Funds net buyers of 2K contracts – O/I -1,189 contracts

WHEAT

  • Dec CHI down 6 @ 6.02, Dec KC down 2 @ 5.54, Dec MPLS down 1 @ 5.50
  • Weather in Russia remains dry and expected to persist
  • Ongoing conflict with Australia & China may leave the door open for increased shipments of U.S. wheat
  • Ongoing dryness in Argentina continues to shrink wheat crop
  • Funds net buyers of 9K contracts SRW – O/I -5,332 & KC -3,117

CATTLE

  • Dec LC down 0.55 @ 107.27 & Nov FC down 0.40 @ 135.72
  • Live cattle down despite recent boost in beef values
  • Still looming concern for demand due to COVID-19 resurgence
  • Projected slaughter for Tuesday estimated at 120K head
  • No cash prices for LC & 138.03 as of 11/2 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -2,499 contracts for Dec LC & O/I: -1,099 contracts for Nov FC

HOGS

  • Dec up 0.45 @ 65.87
  • Need to hold this support level of 65.00 in Dec or further selling pressure may be invited
  • Traders look for cash values to firm & pork cutout values to stabilize
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 490K head
  • Cash lean index @ 72.88 as of 11/2
  • O/I: -1,588 contracts

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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