TFM Midday Update 11-5-2020

CORN

  • Dec up 8 @ 4.13
  • Export sales of 2.610M mt – up 16% from last week
  • Harvest near complete in U.S.
  • South American weather dryness will keep concerns on crop
  • Funds net buyers of 6K contracts – O/I -31,043 contracts
  • Dec support 4.40 & resistance @ 4.16

SOYBEANS

  • Nov up 25 @ 11.04 & Jan up 18 @ 11.05
  • Export sales 1.530M mt – down 6% from last week
  • Malaysia pal oil jumps 28 yr high
  • Brazil still dry through weekend, may get some rains next week
  • Demand still very strong from China & South America
  • USDA report Tuesday, could lower yield & raise exports
  • Funds net buyers of 13K contracts – O/I -373 contracts
  • Jan support 10.83 & resistance @ 11.10

WHEAT

  • Dec CHI up 9 @ 6.15, Dec KC up 9 @ 5.68, Dec MPLS up 7 @ 5.64
  • Export sales of 597.1K mt – down 20% from last week
  • Russia trending cooler over next week, limiting crop improvement from rains
  • Funds net sellers of 2K contracts SRW – O/I -7,278 & KC -3,023
  • Dec CHI support @ 6.12 & resistance 6.29, Dec KC wheat support 5.52 & resistance 5.80, Dec MPLS wheat support 5.59 & resistance 5.73

CATTLE

  • Dec LC down 0.02 @ 107.85 & Nov FC down 0.50 @ 137.20
  • Limited cash support & steady gains help beef values support market
  • Beef exports remained limited @ 20,400 mt – Japan & South Korea largest buyer
  • Projected slaughter for Thursday estimated at 120K head
  • Limited cash for 106-107 for LC & 138.57 as of 11/3 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -1,982 contracts for Dec LC & O/I: -1,008 contracts for Nov FC

HOGS

  • Dec up 0.30 @ 66.65
  • Holding support but China’s demand backing off could keep prices capped
  • Pork exports 42,200 mt – Mexico largest buyer, followed by China
  • Traders look for cash values to firm & pork cutout values to stabilize
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 489K head
  • Cash index prices only $6+ plus over Dec futures vs last week’s $10+
  • Cash Lean Index @ 72.05 as of 11/3
  • O/I: -1,415 contracts

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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