TFM Midday Update 12-02-2021

CORN

  • Dec corn up 9 @ 5.81
  • USDA reported corn export sales of 40.2 mb
  • Market is taking a risk-on position for the second consecutive day – omicron virus concerns seem to be subsiding as early reports are that symptoms are mild
  • Ethanol margins are positive and supporting nearby corn futures
  • Dec 9th USDA report could show 100 – 200 mb drop in carryout due to higher demand
  • OPEC meeting rumors are for increased production in January

SOYBEANS

  • January soybeans up 11 @ 12.39
  • USDA reported soybean export sales of 39.1 mb
  • Brazil soybean prices are still cheaper than the US
  • Dec 9th USDA report could show a higher carryout due to lower US exports and lower China imports
  • NASS reported 196.9 mb of soybeans crushed in Oct – highest monthly crush on record
  • Brazil is looking for a record early harvest

WHEAT

  • Dec wheat up 23 @ 8.01, Dec KC up 17 @ 8.31, Dec MNPLS up 18 @ 10.55
  • USDA reported wheat export sales of 2.9 mb
  • World markets are concerned that Europe is shipping too much wheat
  • Paris milling wheat futures are rebounding
  • Australian weather forecast is turning drier, but there are still concerns over quality due to recent wet conditions
  • US southern plains have a dry forecast for the next couple weeks

CATTLE

  • Dec cattle up 0.825 @ 136.825 & Jan FC down 0.475 @ 165.350
  • Anticipation of higher cash helped cattle recover some of their losses
  • Still concern over the weakness of boxed beef
  • Choice cuts down 1.46 and select down 2.32
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 121K
  • CME Feeder Cattle Index for 12/1: down 0.86 @ 161.60

HOGS

  • Dec hogs down 0.375 @ 73.250 & Dec pork cutouts down 1.650 @ 86.250
  • Hogs have seen higher cash trade the past couple days
  • Packers may be purchasing more aggressively due to the holiday season
  • National Direct Afternoon report increased 1.35
  • Hog slaughter projected at 482K
  • CME Lean Hog Index for 12/2: up 0.23 @ 70.27

Author

Brandon Doherty

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