TFM Midday Update 12-24-20

MERRY CHRISTMAS FROM ALL OF US AT TOTAL FARM MARKETING!

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 24: The CME closes at 12:15 CT, and Total Farm Marketing offices close at 1:00 CT. There will be no 4:30 update.
FRIDAY, DECEMBER 25: The CME and Total Farm Marketing offices are closed.

CORN

  • March up 2 @ 4.49 & Dec up 1 @ 4.23
  • Funds net buyers 20K contracts – O/I +10800 contracts
  • Argentina’s crops will get enough rain to continue viable development for now
  • China selling more corn at auction, technicals remains positive
  • Demand, weather, & lack of farmer selling continue to bolster prices

SOYBEANS

  • Jan up 8 @ 12.66 & Nov up 1 @ 10.85
  • Funds net buyers 9K contracts – O/I -12,000 contracts
  • Except for northern Brazil – rains continue to support crops favorably
  • Overbought technically, but tight supplies keep prices on the move up
  • China continues to need soybeans – strong demand expected into 2021

WHEAT

  • Mar down 3 @ 6.26, Mar KC up 1 @ 5.88, March MNPLS up 1 @ 5.89
  • Funds net buyers of 10K contracts of SRW wheat – O/I +8900 contracts
  • U.S. HRW wheat productions areas will get a little snow/rain next week
  • Russia & Ukraine set to receive much needed rain/snow over next 2 weeks
  • Weak dollar trend & hopes for better demand from S. America due to strike

CATTLE

  • Feb LC up .02 @ 114.75 & Jan FC .20 @ 140.75
  • Positive chart movement but demand still weak
  • Markets thin today as 3 day holiday approaches
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 116K head
  • Cattle prices around 110 for LC & @ 139.74 up .18 as of 12/21 for FC cash index
  • O/I: -671 contracts for Feb LC & O/I: +158 contracts for Jan FC

HOGS

  • February Hogs down .67 @ 67.17 & Feb Pork Cutout down .10 @ 76.90
  • Lack of bullish news in reports sparked selling this morning
  • Waiting for next week when market participants return for indication on price direction
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 262K & runs expected at 67K head
  • Cash lean index @ 62.01 down .51 as of 12/21
  • O/I: -142 positions for hogs & pork cutout futures +29 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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