TFM Midday Update 3-26-21

CORN

  • May up 1 @ 5.48 and Dec down 1 @ 4.65
  • Argentina rainfall overnight welcomed & widespread
  • Good weather is holding market in consolidation phase
  • Chinese imports of Australian wheat have exploded despite their ongoing political tension
  • Funds liquidated around 35K this week ahead of USDA report
  • Traders focused on stocks of corn & domestic feed usage next week

SOYBEANS

  • May down 11 @ 14.02 & Nov down 4 @ 12.10
  • Brazil’s biggest issue is weather in the middle & latter part of April – too dry?
  • Consolidation continues; meal looks cheaper; oil hits peak
  • Soybeans being pressured by outside markets as new lockdowns in EU/Germany
  • Argentine soybean harvest has begun in central areas
  • Buenos Aires Exchange projects Argentine production at 44 mmt – down 3.5 mmt form USDA’s

WHEAT

  • May up 1 @ 6.14, KC May up 3 @ 5.70, MNPLS down 1 @ 6.17
  • Northern Plains to get frost/freeze next week – most crops will likely be okay
  • US HRW wheat areas will also dry down in next 10 days
  • Probing for low from oversold conditions this week
  • Falling global wheat prices & lack of exports continue to pressure futures

CATTLE

  • June cattle down 0.05 @ 121.02 & April FC up 0.02 @ 144.25
  • Strong cash cattle & higher boxed beef supports higher prices
  • Futures close to putting in contract highs
  • Today’s slaughter est. at 119K head
  • Cattle sales reported in Nebraska & Colorado @ 116
  • Feeder Cattle Index for March 24, up .58 @ 135.62
  • Open interest gained 1086 for June futures & lost 516 contracts for April FC

HOGS

  • April Hogs up 0.72 @ 100.40 & April Pork Cutout  up 1.22 @ 110.02
  • Hogs & Pigs report bullish, indicating tighter numbers than anticipated
  • April chart left several gaps – however a top doesn’t seem in yet
  • Hog slaughter estimated at 491K head
  • Cash lean index for March 23, up .38 @ 93.85
  • O/I: Lost 98 positions for April hogs & pork cutout futures lost 2 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

Sign up to get daily TFM Market Updates straight to your email!

back to TFM Market Updates