TFM Midday Update 5-14-21

CORN

  • July Corn down 16 @ 6.58  Dec down 3 @ 5.54
  • Funds lifted 65,000 contracts of corn yesterday
  • Still too hot & dry in Brazil – could see much higher demand than USDA projects
  • Coast guard reopens Mississippi River to barge traffic
  • Private export sales of 1.360M mt – delivery China
  • O/I: Lost 11,596 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July up 9 @ 15.93 & Nov up 11 @ 14.07
  • Soybeans & meal recovering today from yesterday’s price slaughter
  • Soybean stocks still extremely tight – likely tighter than current 120 mb ending stock
  • Rumor is Brazilian beans are headed to US as crushers need supplies
  • Northern plains still remain drought ridden and spreading
  • O/I: Lost 12,751 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat up 10 @ 7.11, July KC up 5 @ 6.62, July MNPLS up 8 @ 7.48
  • All wheat futures up today after yesterdays grave fall
  • Heavy rains still projected for much of central plains
  • Northern plains are still dry making the drought worse
  • Russian Ag Econ group pegs Russian crop at 81.7 less than USDA
  • French wheat still rated 79% good/excellent
  • O/I: Lost 4,242 positions in July wheat & lost 3,985 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC up .42 @ 116.02 & August FC up .02 @ 150.52
  • June cattle have substantial discount to cash
  • Knee-jerk reaction of trade based on rumor of beef plant not running may be done
  • Bids at 119 – Asks around 120 – still quiet trade
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 12; up .44 @ 131.01
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 116K
  • Open interest lost 6,925 for June futures & lost 500 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs down .10 @ 110.00 & June Pork Cutout down .07 @ 115.60
  • June & August have back filled previous gaps left on charts
  • Pork cutouts significantly higher yesterday offsetting lower cash
  • Hog slaughter projected at 478K
  • Cash lean index for May 11; up .22 @ 110.95
  • O/I: Lost 6,075 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 27 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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