TFM Midday Update 5-19-21

CORN

  • July down 17 @ 6.41 & Dec down 17 @ 5.25
  • Prices pressured by wheat & soybeans today
  • Since May 5, China booked over 8 million mt of new-crop corn
  • Internal China prices still above $11 bu
  • Brazil’s crop rated 23% good/excellent – 31% rated poor
  • Ethanol production expected to remain high
  • O/I: Lost 13,235 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July down 48 @ 15.26 @ Nov down 42 @ 13.57
  • Soy processors have lowered basis by 10-30 cents
  • Disappoint NOPA crush for April – 160.3 mb
  • Rains projected to finally fall in N. Plains
  • Battle for new-crop acreages continues
  • Tight stocks & demand leaves no room for production errors
  • O/I: Lost 5,268 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat down 21 @ 6.76 , July KC down 21 @ 6.26, July MNPLS down 25 @ 6.89
  • Prices continue to fall as rains projected for N. Plains
  • Wheat Quality Crop Tour pegs Kansas wheat yield at 59.2 bu per acre
  • Rains continue to fall on Texas, Oklahoma, and Kansas
  • New crop in the EU & Black Sea off to great start
  • O/I: Lost 300 positions in July wheat & gained 11 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC down .05 @ 116.70 & August FC up 1.22 @ 153.15
  • Cash trading steady to higher provided much needed boost
  • Beef exports sales need to improve within the next month
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 17; down .20 @ 133.70
  • Southern live deals were at $119 to mostly $120
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 120K
  • Open interest lost 3,291 for June futures & gained 49 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs up .30 @ 110.92 & June Pork Cutout up .67 @ 118.25
  • Cash was finally higher again – possibly indicating packer swill be more aggressive
  • If exports slow – could give sufficient supply to satisfy demand
  • Hog slaughter projected at 480K
  • Cash lean index for May 14; up .49 @ 111.42
  • O/I: Lost 3,783 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 45 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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