TFM Midday Update 5-21-21

CORN

  • July Corn up 1 6.64 & Dec corn down 3 @ 5.48
  • Corn demand remains incredibly strong
  • Improved weather in the US cause for prices not rallying
  • Total China purchases for May are over 420 mb of new-crop
  • Corn futures being pressured by fall in wheat
  • Rain in Brazil expected to be too little too late
  • O/I: Lost 8,276 positions in July futures

SOYBEANS

  • July up 6 @ 15.39 & Nov down 1 @ 13.68
  • Soybeans plunged this morning but trying to fight back
  • Veg oils are correcting in unison and putting pressure on soybeans
  • Lockdowns in Asia has market spooked regarding future demand
  • Brazil soybeans continue to supply China
  • US soybean basis declining
  • O/I: Lost 975 positions in July futures

WHEAT

  • July wheat down 3 @ 6.71, July KC down 2 @ 6.23, July MNPLS up 2 @ 6.98
  • Much needed rain/snow hitting northern plains
  • Red winter areas have received adequate moisture – more rain will not be a good thing
  • Kansas wheat tour ended with record yield of 58.1 bpa – average is 43.1 bpa
  • Kansas production expected to be 365 mb versus 281 mb last year
  • France’s wheat rated 79% good/excellent
  • Parts of Russia turning hot/dry – will monitor closely
  • O/I: Lost 1,138 positions in July wheat & lost 163 positions in KC July wheat

CATTLE

  • June LC up .30 @ 116.90 & August FC up .60 @ 151.67
  • Cash able to hold steady this week
  • Packers might buy more aggressively late today
  • Feeder Cattle cash index for May 19; up .06 @ 133.86
  • Cash trade 119-120 so far this week trade has been light
  • Cattle slaughter projected at 117K
  • Open interest lost 4,057 for June futures & lost 302 for Aug FC

HOGS

  • June hogs up 1.27 @ 113.62 & June Pork Cutout up 2.20 @ 122.20
  • Hog futures look to revisit the highs again
  • Traders seem confident to buy back in with supplies still tight
  • Hog slaughter projected at 469K
  • Cash lean index for May 18; down .17 @ 111.62
  • O/I: Lost 2,187 for June hogs & June pork cutout lost 79 positions

Author

Amberlee Bratcher

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